u/El_precaution

ABTC added 500 BTC to its treasury, bringing its total holdings to over 8,000 BTC, making it the world's 16th-largest public corporate Bitcoin holder.

Most retail traders learn forex by stacking indicators. RSI, MACD, moving averages, Fibonacci, stochastics. They study chart patterns. They backtest setups. They think mastering these tools means mastering the market.

The market disagrees.

Currency pairs don't move because the RSI hit 70. They move because interest rates shifted. Because inflation surprised. Because a central bank changed its tone. Because capital moved from one country to another. Indicators describe what already happened on the chart. Fundamental analysis tells you why it happened, and what's likely to happen next.

*What is fundamental analysis in forex?*

It is the study of the economic, political, and capital-flow forces that drive currency values.

It answers a different question than technical analysis. Technicals ask where and when. Fundamentals ask why.

When you trade a chart, you're reading a price reaction. When you trade fundamentals, you're reading the cause of that reaction. The trader who only knows the reaction is always one step behind.

What actually moves currency prices?

Every meaningful forex move comes from one or more of these and its a fact.

1. Interest rates and central bank policy. This is the single largest driver of currency value. Higher relative interest rates attract capital. Capital flows in. Currency strengthens. The reverse is also true. But it's not the current rate that matters most. It's the expected rate path. Markets price what they think the central bank will do over the next six to twelve months. When the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, or any major central bank shifts tone, the currency moves immediately, often well before any actual policy change.

2. Inflation. Inflation forces central banks to act. High inflation usually means higher rates ahead. Low or falling inflation usually means rate cuts ahead. The most-watched inflation prints are CPI and PCE in the US, HICP in the eurozone, and CPI in the UK. The number itself matters less than the surprise relative to forecast. A hot CPI print can lift a currency by 1% in minutes if it forces the market to reprice the rate path.

3. Employment and growth. NFP, unemployment rate, average earnings, GDP, PMIs, retail sales. These tell the market how healthy an economy is. A strong economy gives the central bank room to keep rates higher. A weakening economy pushes them toward cuts. Employment data is the most reactive of this group, because labor markets are the cleanest signal for forward growth.

4. Trade flows and capital flows. Countries that export more than they import generate structural demand for their currency, because buyers need that currency to pay for the goods. This is why countries with persistent trade surpluses often have currencies with buying pressure underneath them. Capital flows work the same way. When global investors move money into a country's bonds or equities, they buy that currency first. When they pull out, they sell it.

5. Risk sentiment and geopolitics. When risk is on, money flows into higher-yielding, growth-sensitive currencies like AUD, NZD, and emerging market FX. When risk is off, money flows into safe havens like USD, JPY, and CHF. A war, a credit event, a banking crisis, a major geopolitical shock. These can flip sentiment in hours and trigger massive currency moves. Every headline in the US-Iran story over the past two months has repriced the dollar, oil, and gold in real time based on the perceived shift in escalation risk. (Read the full breakdown of how this works in Why Does Price Move on News?)

SEC Chair Paul Atkins said Trump Accounts are about “savings and investing for the long term,” giving children a chance to “own a piece of the rock.”

He said the goal is to give every child “a stake in the game” and teach them how markets and free enterprise actually work.

$ALLO +36.86%

$US +35.77%

$M +33.36%

$MAGMA +33.25%

$THE +31.73%

Momentum is building..... which contract are you trading today?

The Trump administration has held discussions with SpaceX about potentially donating company stock to the new children’s savings accounts program known as “Trump Accounts,” according to a person familiar with the matter.

It is currently unclear whether Elon Musk or SpaceX has agreed to any donation or what the final terms would be. The program is expected to launch soon.

Source:

Semafor: https://www.semafor.com/article/06/29/2026/spacex-us-government-discuss-stock-donation-for-trump-accounts

OpenAI has proposed giving the US government a roughly 5% stake in the company, according to the Financial Times.

The discussions are part of broader talks between OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and the Trump administration about the government potentially taking equity stakes in major AI companies. The proposal is linked to OpenAI’s earlier idea of a “Public Wealth Fund” that would allow the public to share in the economic benefits of AI development.

No final agreement has been reached.

Source:

Financial Times report: https://www.ft.com/content/8559a3f9-86de-4a1c-8a75-6623e83e6a00

Question..... are you also making profits in thesame as Mr. president ?

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The Trump family’s crypto ventures have reportedly delivered $2.3 billion to Trump and affiliated entities, according to Reuters.

The same ventures have created a similar-sized loss for investors, raising fresh scrutiny over the family’s growing web of financial side deals.

If yes, does anyone care to explain why SpaceX it's boiling down ?

If you're worth $100,000, a $5 coffee is the equivalent of Elon spending $59 million on the same cup! 

This capital is likely flowing into the stock market.

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But remember that the U.S. continues to dominate spot bitcoin ETF inflows and crypto-related policy initiatives.

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And bitcoin is still down -50% from its October peak, which arguably UNDERVALUED right now.

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Money usually rotates from overvalued to still UNDERVALUED assets and if that happens, the crypto catch-up rally will be absolutely insane.

BTC has slipped out of the world’s top 10 assets by market cap as the latest sell-off dragged its marketcap to around $1.49T, ranking 13th globally.

Bullish signal for USD & markets? 🇺🇸💵 Thoughts?

ARK Invest’s long-term $BTC bull case still points to a massive $750,000 target.

But at the same time, ARK has been trimming exposure to its own ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF.