u/Fickle-You-5101

Trivari research found that only 20% of stocks have beaten the index over the past ten years.
Most stocks have a lifetime of around four years.
You should never value a company on past performance. The ideal timeline is three to six quarters.
Anything more and you risk being on the opposite side of the bell curve.

The number one question you should be asking is, is the next quarter going to be a better improvement than the last quarter was over the previous one.
Thats why I like Nebius, and not netflix.
Thats why i like AMD over Nvidia
Thats why I like Figma over Adobe

1. Customer relationships, more early stage customers in the mix , companies using Nebius will continue to use nebius and use more compute as they themselves scale.
2. Dexterity agility ability of team, much better than the teams at amazon and there is no team at Coreweave.

Wait: Nebius could be rangebound up till earnings, earnings should tell us more if management is doing what they say
Nebius volatility it could dip to 200 or 180, if this isnt a company your 100% sure about wait! You might be lucky and get a better entry!

Two new industries are now using go pros that were never using them before. The reason dual shot.
Thanks to that massive pixel count and ultra-wide sensor, you can record a single ultra-wide scene and essentially extract two totally different shots from one.
Two new industries are now using go pros that were never using them before. In the adult industry time is money, they don’t charge by the day but by the minute. Its also incredibly frustrating for the stars to wait for you to set up another shot. It just kills the energy. A dual shot saves you money and makes the actresses happier.
Specialized surveillance require maximum image fidelity in the smallest possible box. GoPro delivers unmatched image quality and stabilization within a compact, rugged chassis. With dual-shot capability, surveillance operators can maintain a broad situational overview while simultaneously zooming in on high-interest targets—all from a single compact unit.
GoPro presents a classic asymmetric setup where a single catalyst could instantly trigger a massive rerating.
By simply restructuring its balance sheet the fundamental valuation supports a clean 2x baseline re-evaluation. Any positive deal execution from there offers pure, unpriced upside—giving investors an exceptionally skewed risk-reward profile.

If the starman deal goes through go pro could find new distribution channels, but even if it does not go through....Dual shot opens up new use cases. Thanks to massive pixel count and ultra-wide sensor, you can record a single ultra-wide scene and essentially extract two totally different shots from one. Two new industries are now using go pros that were never using them before.
If you want to find out more message me. The answer will surprise you.

Why do you think it’s undervalued? Relative to growth I think its overvalued. Explorers and Finance could do well short term, but I see both having problems within a year. Is there a reason you would buy ftse uk over all world or S and P?

Ceres looks like the better company. Strong margins, scalability,
Eos is trying to get where Ceres already is, while also making the product itself. It does not have Ceres efficient model yet but has one advantage: turning an existing plant into an Eos battery factory is far easier than converting one to make fuel cells.
Both companies carry risk. Ceres has strong margins but a rich valuation. Eos is cheaper, but its margins are still low because it is still scaling production.

A double interest raise in the medium term could double Nebius stock. Prove me wrong in the comments!
Thesis: Neocloud competitors and new neclouds cant survive in a rising rate environment at worst Nebius gets their customers and pricing power. At its best in the medium term nebius could buy rent out broken neoclouds compute. The margins on this would be unbelievable, buy compute at firesale update their datacentres and charge double or triple. Of course that wont happen overnight, but just goes to show nebius dexterity over competitors.

Second largest acquisition and by multiple third, considering that bending spoons is very aggressive on valuing a company I think this is good news. Also bending spoons doesnt improve the company it strips it down, and raises prices so thats also good news.

Obviously I dont think this will change what happens to the stock, I think it will go down around claude code ipo and give us a great buying opportunity. I do not know anyone who got in at 16 but maybe with claude ipo ir a new claude code update we’ll get the chance to buy low.

Sometimes happens at the end of summer, happened last summer might happen again especially because there is a chance of interest rates going up (they will definitely not go down any time soon). I think most companies it depends on what the company does earnings/ partnerships/ ect but if a company fails on expectations it will probably go down a lot more then in a different environment.

I think it has to be 1 or 2 and they kind of go together. 3.Robotics could include factory automation 4. Some new pharma companies in longevity, which is a kind and of panacea because its one thing that reduces everything that all pharma companies fight to stop, but I’ve always lost money on pharma…

This is just my opinion and with growth stocks the upside and downside is a lot more than predictable stocks. Also these are chances, not predictions.
So the first one will be the chance of a 8x and the second a chance of a 2x
Chance of 8x
Rezolve 10%
Nebius 6%
Palenteer 3%

For a 2x
Nebius 70%
Palenteer 40%
Rezolve 30%

Rezolve: , its evolving too slowly. Nothing has changed from original thesis, google deal does not really change the company. That would be ok if it was a larger company but you buy penny stocks for explosive growth and I dont see it happening. Also Commerce.com would have made things a lot smoother and easier for Rezolve. Finding the customers and then going through the whole commerce overhaul isnt easy.

Datavault: This is probably the definition of a penny stock, could go to zero or become bigger than a crypto exchange. Recent moves by the company are not looking good, its aim was to truly become an IP / Data exchange platform and while I can still see that happening eventually today the company is all over the place. Ultimate definition of penny stock. Price could fall by another 60 percent before we even start to see data being bought and sold.

Roadzen
Great numbers, possible inflection but the problem is this is not going to become a global name. Its just not worth it for a double or four x, the risk is still there, and could easily drop to under a dollar.
Two years ago Roadzen had a real shot of partnering with a giant like allianz. But now competition and inhouse, have already done it.

Amprius
Most penny stocks dream of becoming the next amprius. But at todays valuation you either think were going to be making double the drones every year or that flying cars will take off and they’ll choose amprius. Overvalued if you see no change in drones made every year. Overvalued if theres like a 10-30 percent change. Risk is still there: just because its further a long from most battery small caps doesnt mean theres no risk. The main risk is overvaluation, anda complicated structure that is difficult to

Eos. All depends on margins. It could get there it might not. Theres no way of telling how much the cost of its batteries will come down.

Pharma- dont like it 80 percent of pharma probably going to zero.
Two companies I like are ont and eos syntax ( different from eos energy)

**Neoclouds**: Nebius Coreweave Cerebra Iren
**Green Tech**: Siemens Energy Scneider ABB fuell cells Fluence Nexans Stem
**Robotics** Rock Tesla Cognex

At 80 dollars it was too risky, size accordingly

Before these earnings, de risked, but still risky??> and has not had cuda moment???

Now finally de risked but now overpriced.

In four years from now reddit might still be around the price it is now. Then again it could be worth double or triple what it is now. Its an unknown, and the upside and downside is a lot wider than most SP stocks. The question is, is this a negative assymetry story right now at this price it is right now i.e is there more downside risk then upside potential?

Revenue growth could average 30 percent a year over the next 4, but the markets are filled with companies that eventually became far larger businesses without ever recovering their previous valuation extremes.The average midcap lifecycle for a stock is four years. Which means a growing company never outperforms for more than four years.

Reddit was 40 dollars in 2024 and has 6x, another 6x is possible but incredibly unlikely.The biggest problem with reddit is that theres just not enough advertisers for every niche. A general advert would do far better on tik tok, tv instagram and meta. Yet googles keywords, are incredibly specific, so whats the problem with reddit. The problem is that when you search in google you go with intent to click somewhere, but if your on reddit invest subreddits youre not going to want to click an IBKR ad, you might already have IBKR or you might already be on another platform, your going to find the latest news, and pump your stock. If your on a coding sub, you are already coding.

These are a few ways Reddit can win.

Questions with rewards. User ask question and promises reward. Or user asks question locks in a 100 dollar reward and has to give it to the person who answers. Tik Tok makes millions with Tik Tok gifts why cant reddit do the same?

In the last year all reddit has done is create user profile stereotypes. That is they divided all of reddit into 100 profiles, and tried to sell these profiles to ad companies to target. Pretty clever, but not good enough!

Meta and App Lovins monetization is far superior.

You buy Reddit specifically because users are undermonetized and theres that potential. App Lovin has reached peak monetization, and Meta even though its spending Billions to better monetize with AI has grooming problems.

Are you better off buying Mag 7 than Reddit. While Reddit has massively outperformed mag 7 theres no garantee that will continue.

mag 7 chance of 10-20 percent a year is about 80 percent chance

meanwhile reddit chance of 10-20 percent a year from here is about 20 percent

Of course theres a ten percent chance of a 4x in 4 years, but then theres also the chance, that it goes nowhere.

So at what price should i sell, that depends on the risk you want, not on your ability to analyze the reddit company.

Im slowly selling, I sold on Friday, i will probably sell this week and Im planning on exiting reddit at a plus 20 percent from here.

You never buy stocks for the long term, because most companies have a four to six year stock timeline.

Of course Mag 7 is different, and slower movers are different, but Reddit is a growth stock, and it may have past its peak.