u/KassiwithaK
Medics among 51 killed in Israeli attacks on Lebanon in past 24 hours
aljazeera.comThe ridiculous claim repeated by people like Trump that Iran would instantly nuke Israel the moment it got the bomb has never made any sense. Israel already has nuclear weapons, a first strike from Iran would mean mutually assured destruction. Both countries would be wiped off the map.
And despite all the rhetoric, Iran has generally acted with far more restraint in direct confrontation than Israel has. In fact, you can argue as many critics/strategist have that Iran‘s restraint has cost them a lot as their restraint has been read as weakness, hence Trump’s incorrect assessment that the regime would fall in a matter of days which is an opinion that made him start this war.
Historically states that acquire nuclear weapons tend to become more cautious in direct interstate conflict, not less. Pakistan and India for example have engaged in crises and proxy conflicts but have generally avoided full-scale war since both became nuclear-armed. The presence of nuclear weapons does not eliminate conflict but it raises the cost of escalation to an extreme level forcing greater restraint on all sides.
This is what Israel fears most, a restraint. The inability to act with impunity across the region. Israel has repeatedly demonstrated a willingness to use large-scale military force on civilian infrastructure across the region in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza. Israel’s doctrine has been to maintain overwhelming military superiority so it can behave with impunity.
It can flatten Gaza to the shock and horror of millions in the region because it has impunity and it can assassinate leaders because including a head of state because there is no one able to “check it”.
So the real strategic fear of a nuclear Iran is not the ridiculous idea of an imminent nuclear strike but the introduction of a deterrent that constrains Israel’s ability to act with impunity.
A nuclear Iran would mean Israel could no longer bomb whoever it wants across the region without risking catastrophic escalation. No more operating with near-total impunity while destroying civilian infrastructure in Gaza, Lebanon, or Iran under the banner of “security.”
Once your adversary can truly deter you, assassinations, airstrikes, and collective punishment against civilian infrastructure like in Gaza and South Lebanon becomes much harder to carry out.
You don’t have to support the Iranian regime to recognize that Israel’s regional military doctrine depends heavily on escalation dominance and freedom of action.
Some of the key points
• Lebanon was largely sidelined in diplomacy over its own war, with key decisions shaped in Washington rather than Beirut.
• Trump publicly announced a Lebanon-Israel call before President Joseph Aoun had agreed to it, exposing how little control Beirut had over the process.
• Lebanese officials say the 10-day ceasefire happened because the US and Iran wanted it, not because Lebanon shaped it.
• Direct Lebanon-Israel talks are moving forward under heavy US pressure, while Beirut has little leverage over the agenda.
• Aoun and Nawaf Salam are pushing to bring all arms under state control, but the state still lacks both the political consensus and the coercive power to confront Hezbollah.
• Hezbollah, despite heavy losses, remains deeply influential and has used the negotiations to intensify criticism of the government.
• The ceasefire terms themselves reflect Lebanon’s weak position: Israel can keep operating under “self-defence”, while the Lebanese army cannot.
Reading through the posts in this sub and the disagreements about hijab, I wanted to share this wisdom someone shared with me.
The wisdom of the hijab is enduring. In today‘s world where capitalism shapes every aspect of our living, the hijab sets a clear boundary. Where attention is increasingly monetised and women’s bodies has been turned into content, branding, and commercial value, the hijab serves as a protection against reducing women to visual commodities.
It helps resist systems that incentivise sexualisation for profit or visibility, and instead redirects worth toward character, intellect, and conduct rather than appearance.