Britain can’t provide us with nuclear submarines, says Malcolm Turnbull
The former Australian prime minister Malcolm Turnbull has called British shipbuilding an “industry in disarray” and predicted it will produce few, if any, of the nuclear-powered submarines promised under the Aukus agreement in the foreseeable future.
Speaking at an independent inquiry into the implications and viability of the tri-nation submarine deal, which will cost Australia the equivalent of nearly £200 billion, the former Liberal Party leader described the pact as “a colossal mistake”.
“If the goal of this project is to acquire nuclear-powered submarines, every indication is that we won’t get them,” he claimed. “The Americans are not producing enough of their own, let alone ours.”
He added: “The British shipbuilding industry is in disarray and the British are more aware of that than anyone. So we are sending billions and billions of dollars over to the United States, over to the UK, and there is every prospect that we will end up with no submarines, certainly no American ones, and potentially none of the British ones for a very, very long time.”
Turnbull, 71, who served as prime minister between 2015 and 2018, claimed it would take well into the middle, or past the middle of this century, for the British submarines to appear.
“This is a colossal mistake,” he declared.
He argued that Aukus would involve a huge “sacrifice of sovereignty” for Australia.
“Everything points to the fact that we will be less secure, not simply because we won’t have the same ability to defend ourselves as we had before, not because we will be reliant, even more reliant on the United States than we have been before. And what exquisite timing … Right at that time in history when the United States, not by accident, not by carelessness, but by design, has become less dependable under Donald Trump and that trend shows every sign of continuing.”
Turnbull’s criticism reflects growing public unease about the cost of Aukus, which was signed last year and allows for the Royal Australian Navy to operate and maintain eight nuclear-powered attack submarines by the mid-2040s.
Under the agreement the United States will sell Australia up to three Virginia-class submarines.
But Britain will also play a key role in the construction of future Australian SSN-Aukus submarines, which will be based on the UK’s next-generation nuclear attack boats to be built at Barrow-in-Furness.
HMS Anson, the fifth Astute class submarine from BAE Systems, as it departed the company’s shipyard in Barrow-in-Furness
The Australian partnership will also offer the UK a significant military presence in the Indo-Pacific, at a time of increased Chinese naval activity.
Maintenance and construction facilities in Western Australia and South Australia have already involved a considerable investment.
While Aukus is backed by both the Labor and Liberal parties, the crowd-funded public inquiry, which is currently touring Australia, has revealed deep reservations among community groups and the political class.
Turnbull’s latest criticism also reflects his long-standing tensions with Britain.
Before entering politics he made his name as a lawyer representing Peter Wright, the retired MI5 employee who wrote a book about his work for the spy agency. The British government tried to ban publication of Spycatcher in Australia, but Turnbull successfully appealed an injunction to stop the book’s sale, making him something of a national hero.
He went on to become a founder of the Australian republican movement, helping to further cement his popularity among those who favoured axing constitutional ties with Britain and removing the monarch as head of state.
In 1999 a referendum proposed that a president be elected by a two-thirds majority of parliament, but failed to win the necessary support.