Login

r/sustainability

By the 2030´s we will have Oil Wars because only a handful of countries with a surplus will remain
▲ 459 r/sustainability+1 crossposts

By the 2030´s we will have Oil Wars because only a handful of countries with a surplus will remain

Only around 20 countries on the Planet remain that are self sufficient in Oil and supply the other 180 countries. In 10-15 years the number could be down to just 10.

Several countries that used to be major exporters have reached Peak Oil Decades ago and now rely on imports themselves.

Germany produced 170 000 Barrels of Oil a day in 1968 at their peak. Now? 30 000/day. They need 2 Million a day.

Romania produced 300 000 Barrels of Oil a day in 1976 at their peak. Now? 50 000/day. They need 200 000 a day.

France hit the peak in 1988 with 67 000 barrels/day. Now its down to just 10 000/day. They need 1.5 Million.

The UK peaked in 1998 with 2.8 Million barrels/day. Now they are down to just 600 000/day. They need 1.4 Million every day.

Indonesia peaked at 1.7 Million barrels/day in 1977, now they are down to just 600 000 Barrels/day. They need 1.7 Million/day.

Japan peaked in 1996 with 20 000 Barrels/day. Now they are down to 3000/day and they need 3 Milion/day.

South Korea is basically the same.

India peaked in 2011 with 800 000 Barrels/day. Now down to 600 000 Barrels/day. It needs 5 Million/day.

Even Australia peaked at 600 000 Barrels/day in 2000 and is now down to just 250 000/day. It needs 1.1 Million a day.

There are only around 20 countries left that produce more oil than they consume and can export any meaningful quantities. The problem is that around half of them are projected to run out if oil within the next 10-15 years.

Brazil is projected to use up their proven oil reserves in 12 years at current production.

Norway in 10.

Mexico in 8.

Oman 14.

Argentina 10.

Angola 7.

Colombia 7.

And even the USA - 9.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_proven_oil_reserves

They dont even have to run out of oil. Its enough when their production falls to a level that they dont meet their demand. By that point they will be forced to import oil as well.

And by 2040 there will be only around 10 countries left with a surplus of oil that can supply the other 190 countries. And 190 countries scrambling for scraps while 10 sit on the prize, that's a geopolitical meltdown waiting to happen.

The US is already doing a "war light" in Venezuela and Iran to secure their Oil. By the 2030´s these conflicts will have turned to real outright war.

u/Aiwillstealourjobs — 4 days ago
▲ 3 r/sustainability

Socks for hot wet climate?

Hi, I live in a very hot and wet climate and I walk quite a lot. I want to wear socks with sandles to keep cool and also keep the brambles from scratching me up too much. Any suggestions for good sustainable options?

I have big feet, I wear a US men’s size 13 shoe usually

reddit.com
u/hollyrose_baker — 4 days ago
▲ 17 r/sustainability

Where is sustainability a purely technological problem?

I admit that I have a long way to go on education in the world of sustainability — I am going to be minoring in it, so I apologize if this is an ignorant question.

From my understanding, a large portion of sustainable solutions are locked by political and economic barriers much more than technological. For example, the technology to recycle (or repurpose into other forms of energy) already exists, but is far from possible in most of the world due to economic and political barriers, like it being cheaper to make virgin plastic than to recycle and oil companies lobbying to continue making plastics.

At least within the United States, I am noticing that there is a lot of technology that I think would be beneficial, and even low cost, but it remains largely politically blocked or slowly implemented. From my understanding, I believe that the most significant developments would serve low income countries in cheaper ways than what is being done already, and I see this working because there is both political and economic benefit for much of the technology that could be developed.

I am curious on your input, and I want to clarify that I am thinking worldwide and on any area of sustainable action.

TLDR:

What is the technology that could make a real difference that remains undeveloped that is hard to argue against politically and economically?

reddit.com
u/PhilosopherOptimal69 — 13 days ago
▲ 3 r/sustainability

How do you actuallu measure environmental impact?

I'vee been getting more interested in sustainability lately, and one thing i'm still trying to understand is how people actually measure whether an environmental project is making a real impact.

As a newbie, i usually see things like "planted 10.000 tress" or avoided X tonnes of CO₂," and honestly um not always sure what those numbers really mean beyond the headline.

For people who know more about thhis, what metrics do you usually look at to tell whether a project us actually making difference on the ground?

reddit.com
u/kikithewitch__ — 12 days ago