The COMEX Vault Drain Hypothesis: Is Something Fishy Going On?
▲ 29 r/StackPGMs+2 crossposts

The COMEX Vault Drain Hypothesis: Is Something Fishy Going On?

Over the past several months I've been digging into the unusual activity in silver and broader precious metals markets: the vault drains, the record delivery volumes, and the price volatility, in an effort to figure out whether there's a real story here or just noise.
What I found is a pattern that, at least to me, looks like more than coincidence: a growing overlap between what's happening in these markets and the major government initiatives now underway around critical minerals.

This post lays out that connection. None of this should be taken as investment advice: just my own research and my own theory, which I'm putting out there for others to poke holes in, add to, or shoot down entirely. Take it for what it's worth and please do your own digging before drawing any conclusions.

Views are my own and not in any way endorsed by my employer. Our firm is neither involved in, nor positioned in, any of the securities or companies mentioned. None of the information in this post, or elsewhere on my page, should at any point ever be misconstrued as neither investment nor financial advice. Please be sure to do your own research, always.

See for yourself here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1uDROwpDlUvp398tvEWmgn9laHn2pbKgb0vpH05KB6mc/edit?usp=sharing

Version with images (no Imgur links): https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Oj-v5Ik_JkM_ZP7QP3mpB9lLKAvrkDN8THm8JeQzIu0/edit

u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 3 days ago
▲ 50 r/StackPGMs+2 crossposts

Decrease in registered GOLD and SILVER. Significant positive revisions (after hours purchase) of GOLD and SILVER futures. Total SILVER futures trade is highest volume in the last 1-1/2 months. Trend of significant spot GOLD purchases continues.

Vaults:
SILVER, 603 koz into Asahi. Nothing out. 928 koz reclassified to registered at Loomis Intl. 1.25 million oz reclassified out of registered: Asahi 0.65, Stonex 0.33, Brinks 0.2, MTB 0.07.

GOLD, Nothing in. 1 kilo out at MTB. 2.088 immaculate tonnes reclassified out of registered at Brinks.

COMEX (June) Spot Volume Today (final)- Gold 2724, Silver 148, Platinum 0

COMEX PM Vaults

New June contracts yesterday based on preliminary reports SILVER 57 (+0.5 truckloads), GOLD +255 ( +0.8 tonnes), Platinum 0

After Hours Revision report, changes in contracts between preliminary and final reports: SILVER +575 (+4.8 truckload), GOLD +1390 (+4.3 tonnes), PLATINUM +1
_____

Undeliverable ratios: [I added July (inactive) GOLD since they seem to be playing games with it.]

June:
GOLD, 0.00 (UNCH)

July:
SILVER, 1.33 (-0.34)
PLATINUM, 2.32 (-0.79)
GOLD, 0.05 (UNCH)

August:
GOLD, 1.83 (+0.03)

September:
SILVER, 3.67 (+0.09)

October:
GOLD, 0.13 (UNCH)
PLATINUM, 9.65 (+0.40)

December:
SILVER, 0.63 (+0.03)
GOLD, 0.30 (+0.01)

January:
PLATINUM, 0.97 (UNCH)

February:
GOLD, 0.04 (UNCH)

March:
SILVER, 0.18 (+0.02)

reddit.com
u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 10 days ago
▲ 36 r/StackPGMs+1 crossposts

SILVER vaults mostly quiet, GOLD vaults losing registered for delivery. Uptick in GOLD volume may just be closing paper contracts, we will confirm later tonight.

Vaults:
SILVER, Nothing in. 1k oz out at Delaware. 30 koz reclassified to registered also at Delaware.

GOLD, Nothing in. Nothing out. 0.3 immaculate tonnes reclassified to registered at JPM. 4.21 tonnes reclassified out of registered: Brinks 1.72, MTB 1.58, Stonex 0.64, Asahi 0.18, Loomis Intl 63 immaculate kilo bars, Malca-Amit 0.03

COMEX (June) Spot Volume Today (so far)- Gold 1639, Silver 23, Platinum 9

COMEX PM Vaults

New June contracts yesterday based on preliminary reports SILVER -234 (-1.95 truckloads), GOLD -6426 ( -20 tonnes), Platinum +2

After Hours Revision report, changes in contracts between preliminary and final reports: SILVER -157 ( -1.3 truckload), GOLD -1023 (-3.2 tonnes), PLATINUM -54

_______

Undeliverable ratios

June:
GOLD, 0.16 (-0.04)

July:
PLATINUM, 9.94 (-0.29)
SILVER, 4.25 (+0.02)

August:
GOLD, 1.68 (+0.05)

September:
SILVER, 0.94 (+0.04)

October:
GOLD, 0.10 (UNCH)
PLATINUM, 2.86 (+0.11)

December:
SILVER, 0.52 (UNCH)
GOLD, 0.21 (+0.01)

January:
PLATINUM, 0.72 (UNCH)

February:
GOLD, 0.04

reddit.com
u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 1 month ago
▲ 50 r/StackPGMs+2 crossposts

Vaults are VERY slow - GOLD vault is dead or delayed reporting 2 days in a row. SILVER spot (May) volume picked up today. As mentioned in weekend post, some opportunistic spot GOLD accumulation on Friday.

Vaults:
SILVER, 90 koz in at Brinks. 42 koz out: Delaware 24, MTB 15, HSBC 3. 80 koz reclassified to registered at Brinks.

GOLD, Second day in a row with Nothing in, Nothing out, Nothing reclassified.

COMEX (May) Spot Volume Today - Gold 38, Silver 211, Platinum 0

COMEX PM Vaults

New May contracts Friday based on preliminary reports SILVER -1 (-<0.1 truckloads), GOLD +597 ( +1.9 tonnes), Platinum 0

Shenanigan report, changes in contracts between preliminary and final reports: SILVER -107 (-0.9 truckload), GOLD -4553 (-14.2 tonnes), PLATINUM -256

Undeliverable Ratios

May:
SILVER, 0.06 (UNCH)

June:
GOLD, 1.28 (-0.06)

July:
PLATINUM, 10.97 (-0.19)
SILVER, 4.60 (-0.10)

August:
GOLD, 0.81 (+0.02)

September:
SILVER, 0.78 (-0.01)

October:
GOLD, 0.08 (UNCH)
PLATINUM, 2.31 (+0.02)

December:
SILVER, 0.55 (UNCH)
GOLD, 0.18 (UNCH)

January:
PLATINUM, 0.57 (UNCH)

reddit.com
u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 2 months ago

-12% on no news

Sorry for being hateful again but this has absolutely NOTHING to do with real world demand.

24 hours ago I looked and the "price" was $88..now $78 on NO news.

Their plan is working though: I really hate the system and those that control it.

Paper digital option garbage contracts created by the west, haha....nothing will change EVER.

u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 2 months ago

Yeah..

Paper power for ya.

Crypto shit rising.... Ai garbage rising.

We are doomed as free thinking humans, haha

u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 2 months ago

New bass test material discovered!

If you want to test your bass performance: Check youtube "Bombarde 32" or similar videos.....Church organs have MASSIVE bass output.

Very impressive if you have a capable setup.

reddit.com
u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 2 months ago
▲ 15 r/StackPGMs+1 crossposts

This is based on 702 tracked silver products from APMEX updated 5-6pm CST. To see an explanation on how this information is retrieved refer to the 'How we compile the daily silver stock trends' section on the BullionStats.net site. There you can find data going back as far as 11/15/25 on inventory or silver premium trends

Total oz purchased since tracking started 11/15/25: 3,920,214.2

Total in-stock oz tracked: 907,914.94

Tracked oz added (24h): 0
Tracked oz removed (24h): 3,697.27

Number restocked since OOS: 0
Number now out of stock: 2

Top 15 cumulative oz sold for tracked products:

  1. 600 oz: 100 oz Silver Bar - APMEX (Stackable)
  2. 592 oz: 1 oz Silver Round - Buffalo
  3. 306 oz: 1 oz American Silver Eagle (Cull, Damaged, etc.)
  4. 200 oz: 10 oz Silver Bar - APMEX (Stackable)
  5. 180 oz: American Silver Eagles (Random Year, 20-Coin MintDirect® Tube)
  6. 160.75 oz: 1 kilo Silver Bar - Secondary Market
  7. 160 oz: 10 oz Silver Bar - APMEX
  8. 154.68 oz: 1878-1904 Morgan Silver Dollar AU (Random Year)
  9. 119.11 oz: 1878-1904 Morgan Silver Dollar Cull (Random Year)
  10. 101 oz: 2025 Austria 1 oz Silver Philharmonic BU
  11. 71.5 oz: 90% Silver Coins - $5 Face Value Roll - Dimes
  12. 50 oz: 5 oz Silver Bar - APMEX
  13. 49.5 oz: 1922-1935 Peace Silver Dollar Cull (Random Year)
  14. 45 oz: 2011-2017 Canada 1 oz Silver Wildlife Series (Random)
  15. 41.76 oz: 1922-1925 Peace Silver Dollar BU (Random Year)
reddit.com
u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 2 months ago

Weekly checkin...what an utter wanker he has become for the metal "markets"

No buyers, my regular shops are bulging with inventory...massive discounts on socalled collection stuff too.

Crapto is going to overtake metals and of course the shitty tech stonks are up.

Only in USA, haha.

reddit.com
u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 2 months ago

Just checked in for the weekend hearing all the great news on friday, did not believe and sadly I was not wrong.

GL paper players

u/Dutchpapersilver666 — 3 months ago