u/HeroForTheBeero

Watching them on offense pass the ball to each other while attacking is one of the smoothest teams I’ve ever seen. Granted I don’t watch a ton of soccer but I don’t know if I’ve ever seen more effortlessly connection between players. I know we’re not a favorite but are they actually nasty or am do I just need to watch more soccer? Any other teams in the cup that are notably smooth on offense? It’s really fun to watch them.

So I’ve played casually here and there since I was a kid, so I’m not a total newbie, but haven’t done much actual research until recently.

I’ve been playing a local poker night, no buy in, winner gets a tab at the bar. The table is about 8 people, half are pretty skilled and play some real tourneys/ have studied strategy.

After reading some beginner tips, studying charts of which hands to play, i feel it wasn’t the best strategy for this table. Without a huge number of players, I feel that I didn’t give myself enough chances folding on so many hands. There were probably 5-6 hands I folded that would have hit 3 of a kind, full house, straights and a flush. I went conservative and while I did hit a couple big pots with some premium hands, and stuck around until there was 5 of us left, I feel I left a lot of money on the table. Paying attention to my friend who’s quite a bit more knowledgeable than me and wins or makes the final 2 very often, he played a lot of hands that are recommended folds, within reason.

I understand positioning & the fact that the odds are better for lower hands the more people get knocked out. I’m thinking that being so strict on which hands to play applies more to bigger games.

There was only one fish, who had good luck in the beginning calling everything, but as time went on bled chips and I was able to double up a big pot with pocket jacks flopping a set, slowly luring them into bigger bets through the river with the assumption they’d call with any pair as long as I didn’t bet too crazy.

It also just wasn’t as fun only getting to see so many flops. I’m thinking to kind of combine the recommended strategy with my own, self taught strategy to get in more hands responsibly & have more of a chance to get ahead. I feel that I have a good read on the players at the table. Gotta stay tight when the fish is in and can bluff/ force more folds once they’re out. The more experienced players are more conservative & can typically be pushed to fold when it’s fairly clear they’re looking for a draw or have a lower pair on a wet board. There are some bluffs here and there but for the most part they play pretty tight & you have a good idea when they’ve got a good starting hand or hit on the flop. For example say I have 6 8 suited & they raise Preflop, I can pretty much assume they have connected face cards or pocket pairs. I’ll usually fold in that case but if they it’s low stakes enough to get to the flop and it’s mostly lower numbers & they check, I can put a good sized bet out and get a fold knowing they probably have ace king instead of pockets & didn’t hit shit on the flop.

Sorry for the block of text just trying to give some useful context on the table I’m practicing at because it’s pretty consistent.

Any tips appreciated! My plan is to take into account the Preflop fold charts with respect to positioning but also get to more flops with any hand that’s decent if it’s cheap enough, or I’m in good position and it’s clear there’s likely no premium hands on the table/ lots of checks or fold.

I’ve searched every sub and I can’t find any discussions on this topic. Is your league planning to put names in a hat or draw straws? Or maybe a wheel spin would be most fair??

JK, looking for trade advice on my team post startup. 12 TM SF 1.25 TEP+++ & 1 pt/ 10 yd return yards. Team in comments

Coming out of the draft I was all in with no 1sts in 27/28. After a few moves I’ve got 2 in each. 1 of which is looking to be pretty early(1.02-1.05).

The return yards being cracked is my plan to help with flex depth. Turpin was like WR8 last year with a ceiling of 28 pts. Dortch, LMC, Mims were all WR2 level.

Moves I’m considering

Downtier from Dak & pick up a RB3(4 pt pass TD)

Uptier Tee or Zay to a true WR1.

Any advice on who to target & any other moves you’d make to compete?

I worked hard to get JSN from him since he was desperate at QB. I’m to claw my way closer to his production level. This trade was like a crossbow to the gut. I got Bijan from him for the 1.01 & Goff but he still has a super team. Gotta hope to get lucky I suppose.

Dynasty is a value game, & while QBs are important in SF, they’re not as liquid as top skill positions. It’s much easier to get 3-4 1st value from guys like Gibbs, Chase, Bijan than Maye or Allen.

Moreso, the difference between Allen & the QB12 last year was 4 points per game, and Stafford out scored him. The difference between Bijan & the RB12 was 8 ppg, double that of the QB disparity. Yes RBs don’t last as long, but their liquidity is so high it’s very easy to pivot off of you’re not competitive through their age cliff.

For WR, the difference between Puka & WR12 was 12 PPG! In my opinion. The production & trade value difference shows that the best strategy is to get top end RB & WR early in the draft and grabbing lower end QBs later. Thoughts?

Trying to contend this season & Nabers seems like he’ll be out a good chunk of the year & probably not back to form until next season. It’s a start 3 WR & 3 flex league so depth is a fair bit more valuable. My initial offer was this Malik plus a 28 2 for AJB, Kyren & Pierce & this the counter. I’m not in love with it long term but this move could put me over the edge to go for a title this upcoming season. Talk me off
the ledge of accepting this to try to win it all this year.

I have what I think is a solid contending roster in one of my leagues & it doesn’t look like Nabers will be contributing this season at least for the first half. Looking for ideas on who to downtier or pivot to. I sent an offer for Nico & D Smith but I’d prob have to add something. It’s a start 3 WR & 3 flex so very deep starting lineups where I believe depth is a little more valuable than high tier players.

I will start by saying that I have seen a lot of differing sentiments on players that have gone through catastrophic injuries. Interested to read the justifications for buying in on or fading assets with a history.

Examples:

Malik Nabers- Young stud, bad injury but generally considered safe and a late first/ early second level startup asset. Though I have heard a few managers express concern and fade over potential long term effects on his abilities.

Quinshon Judkins- Workhorse back, brutal leg injury. Generally valued strongly & did not lose too much stock value despite a long road to full recovery. Also has the caveat of being a brown and not a receiving back.

Cam Skattebo- Another stud workhorse back, with a freak ankle injury. Not as highly touted of a prospect & I see many concerns of his play style, which I personally feel are exaggerated but I understand why there is an idea he would not have a long career. He showed incredible upside when on the field with his TD prowess, but many have seemed to turn on him as a flash in the pan & believe he likely will not get back to ripping off 3 TD games like childs play & that he’ll have CTE by & retire by 25.

Feel free to add other examples, past & present.

Are you investing in these players at their current values? Or are you fading them and sticking with safer options & why?