Besset bonds japan etc...doesnt this look desperate and manipulative?

I have seen Besset and the treasury doing some unusual manuvers to prop bond yields, Japan and now long term bonds. I also see yields reacting positively/dropping. I am surprised IMO this should do the opposite. The government is manipulating yields, doesn't this look desperate? Prompting a negative market reaction and yields increasing.

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u/aquavelva23 — 1 day ago

buying used iphone AND switching carriers, how to do easy?

I am buying a used iphone and will be switching to a no contract company. I dont know which company. make suggestions, I dont use phone alot

BUT, how is best to do this? Put the iphone on my current account and then switch carrier? Switch carrier with old phone and then add iphone? I just want my old number.

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u/aquavelva23 — 6 days ago

any no contract iphone deals worth?

I am considering buying a iphone. I would also consider switching to a different no contract carrier. Any deals. I remember a Mint mobile deal awhile back?

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u/aquavelva23 — 8 days ago

old fan w 3 speed switch, noise and runs slow. motor or switch?

I have this 70s window fan. it has reverse switch AND a 3 speed switch. the forward reverse seems fine. The 3 speed: at low speed it makes weird moaning sounds and like its slowly speeding up but always seems to go slow, improves as 2 and high speed. is this a switch issue or a motor issue? I kinda like the old GE fan and dont want to trash it for a switch. and if I have to take the grill off, HOW? Its all steel ith 4 stubs going straight into the body with rubber bushings.

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u/aquavelva23 — 13 days ago
▲ 16 r/bonds

what would happen if the Fed didnt change rates with inflation and let the bond market raise. Bond vigilantes run it.

The Fed sets the target range for the federal funds rate, which guides nationwide borrowing costs and economic activity. The open market sets the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield; based on supply, demand, and investor expectations. The 10 is a barometer for many bank loans etc.

So what would happen if the Fed didn't change their rate and the 10 and others ran higher; the curve steeper? what is the problem? The Fed loses respect?

Or maybe even the opposite: the fed changes its rate only when the yield curve gets too steep or flat or inverse: letting the open market influence the Fed. The fed could say: their rate would always be 1.5 points below the 10 and let the open market decide.

Its just that everyone's attention is on the Fed, but I look at the 10 for economic indicator. let the bond vigilantes run things, seems better than the Fed.

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u/aquavelva23 — 13 days ago

Has the Fed "put" eliminated the need for bonds in a portfolio? 60/40 NG?

I think bonds are not a good choice and prefer the Buffet 90 10 concept: 90% stocks, 10% short term treasuries. I do invest 10% in value as part of my stock portfolio, so this can be viewed as a bond proxy..

Why? I believe the bond/stock markets have been fundamentally changed by the Fed' change. Since the mid 80s, Greenspan and the fed have used policy to protect the stock market, at the expense of the bond market. The Greenspan "Fed Put" was a market term for the Federal Reserve policy under Chair Alan Greenspan of cutting interest rates and injecting liquidity during financial crises to rescue the stock market from major declines.

Thus, the stock market downturns, where bond market rise, are rare. And the performance of the band market are terrible, especially when including inflation. And the deficit grows.

In the past, the Fed stayed on the sidelines and let the stock market crash, layoffs and the economy reform. The Fed Put now emboldens investors, because they are rescued later. Most of the 60/40 split uses data from 1950 onward. This assumes the Fed has not changed it policies since then. That is untrue. The Fed has increased its role in the markets. The bond market's glory days were from the 80s to 2000 as interest rates were always falling from those high rates set by Volker. Falling rates are great for Bonds. That is now over. The Fed will continue its "put" until the deficit makes treasuries run high beyond the fed's control. maybe 20 years from now.

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u/aquavelva23 — 16 days ago
▲ 420 r/TubiTV

discovered Tubi and I like strange movies, but is this real??

I found Tubi and I am still a bit freaked out! Its like findin a huge box of wierd books or videos in locked room.... I looking around the site and was wondering if I had some filter search on strange because so many unknown and strange movies kept coming. I am now realizing this is Tubi!! strange, not well known movies. And I love this!! I keep trying to find strange movies on prime but they deleted the search page I used. Now I have a whole site of them??!!

THANKS TUBI!

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u/aquavelva23 — 25 days ago

dumbphone and GPS tracking?

i am looking for something basic for my kid. he takes the bus to school now. dont want a smartphone with full internet access. just basic talk function and gps for us to track, if needed. does such a phone exist?

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u/aquavelva23 — 26 days ago

They are breaking out!

The truck tire purposely deflated itself to stop the truck and let his conspirators free. they will be pouncing on the driver next. do you hear their whispers? sounds like air leaks, but itsssss not

u/aquavelva23 — 2 months ago

Is the Fed raising rates a good response to oil inflation?

The recent rise in inflation, due to iran and oil. Should the Fed step in with higher rates or should the market deal with it?

Example: Fed raises rates. That will increase costs, slow economy/recession and produce layoffs. this will reduce demand on everything and lower inflation.

The Fed doesnt raise rates: Increased oil will slow economy/recession, produce layoffs, reduce demand on everything and lower inflation.

I hesitate to say that the iran oil thing is also temporary. I think the inflation from oil has crept into the economy quite a bit. And even if the war ends soon, that inflation will remain for a long while until there is a recession/layoffs.

This inflation is not due to money printing, so the fed's action of raising rates as the cure seem misguided. No more fed/congress meddling, let the market heal on its own.

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u/aquavelva23 — 3 months ago