u/ClimateShitpost

Will they also add r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar

r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar

The critics screenshotting SA's 2 AM winter gas burn should enjoy it while it lasts, because the pipeline of what hasn't even been built yet makes that image a fast-expiring artefact. Goyder North — 600 MW of wind with a completely different geographic footprint from existing farms, paired with a 225 MW / 900 MWh battery — breaks ground mid-2026. Six battery projects totalling 517 MW / 4,136 MWh have been awarded contracts under SA's Firm Energy Reliability Mechanism and are moving toward construction. EnergyConnect's full 800 MW bi-directional capacity is still completing inter-network testing, meaning the bulk of its renewable-unlocking effect — up to 5.3 GW of new wind, solar, and storage projects now queuing to connect — hasn't materialised yet. The SA government opened 11,000 km² of new land in the Whyalla West and Gawler Ranges East areas for international tender in April 2026, zones identified as having some of the best co-incident wind and solar resources in the state, capable of powering more than 500,000 homes. The Goyder Renewables Zone alone has planning approval to ultimately reach 2.6 GW of wind and solar plus 1,800 MW of batteries. None of this is on the grid yet. All of it is coming.

Behind the meter, the transformation is if anything moving faster than the utility-scale build. Australia's federal Cheaper Home Batteries Program, launched July 2025, triggered an installation rate of 888 home batteries per working day — 183,245 units in the second half of 2025 alone, a fourfold increase on the same period the year before and equivalent to 99% of all battery sales from 2020 to 2024 combined. SA already leads the world in household solar penetration at around 50% of dwellings, meaning the marginal battery added to each of those homes is pure stored daytime surplus available to discharge overnight — directly into the gap that produces the screenshot. Over 250,000 home batteries had been installed nationally by March 2026 and the program is accelerating. Each one of those is demand that doesn't touch the grid during a low-wind night, and increasingly, capacity that can push back into it. The specific confluence of conditions required to produce a screenshot like this one — low overnight wind, no storage buffer, no interstate headroom — is being methodically dismantled from both ends simultaneously, at a rate that is outpacing even AEMO's own projections.

And here is the part that should most embarrass the snapshot merchants: SA is already ahead of schedule, and the schedule itself was already audacious. The state's Premier confirmed as recently as June 19, 2026 that SA has become the first jurisdiction in the world averaging above a gigawatt of demand to have wind and solar generate all that is needed and more. The original 100% net renewable target was 2030. It was brought forward to 2027. New data now suggests even that may be conservative. AEMO projects SA will be a consistent net exporter to the eastern states as demand grows toward 23,000 GWh by 2030, with the bulk supplied by renewables. By 2050, SA is projected to generate five times more renewable energy than it needs to meet current grid demand. The critics are archiving screenshots of a sandcastle at low tide and labelling them structural flaws — while the tide is already coming in and a seawall is under construction.

chart: Last week: 96.9% RE
Last 251 weeks: 98.6% RE (1/5) https://x.com/DavidOsmond8/status/2067080508593615198

Edit, the part missing from the low wind and solar Cherry-Pick..

That chart is grid-only, so it’s missing a huge amount of solar that never flows through the transmission meter in the first place. Australia had 28.3 GW of rooftop solar installed by the end of 2025, and distributed solar hit a record 16.3 GW at one midday interval — so on a clear noon, the chart could easily be leaving out something like 10–20 GW of behind-the-meter solar plus battery supply.

That’s why a winter-night screenshot can make gas look “dominant”: it’s showing what the grid had to supply after rooftop solar and batteries already did their job earlier in the day.

Behind-the-meter storage is scaling fast enough to make this a real economics problem, not just a data-counting problem. Australia added a record 183,245 home batteries in the second half of 2025 alone, and rooftop solar plus storage is increasingly doing the job of avoiding both wholesale energy costs and network charges by serving load locally. As battery costs keep falling, the grid’s expensive response is harder to justify: if you keep leaning on gas, then paying transmission, distribution, and network losses on top of it, you’re asking household solar and storage to compete against the full delivered cost of grid power — and that’s a bad long-term bet. The only competitive path for the grid is to slash expensive generation and system costs fast, or lose more load to behind-the-meter alternatives.

r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar r/balconysolar

Also a recession in between and the forecasts could look even more extreme.

Much love

Um vegoon, do you hate indigenous people?