The case for the JB/PG trade
It happened, it can’t be undone, and I know everyone is upset. It is what it is. That being said, all you can do is make the most of it.
Onto the point of the post…
PG is the better, more voluminous 3PT shooter than JB; the last 3 seasons, about half of Boston’s FGAs have been 3s…that leads all teams by a decent margin.
‘24-‘26 PG had a .48 3PAr, landing him in the 58th percentile amongst all SFs.
’24-‘26 JB had a .30 3PAr, putting him in just the 10th percentile amongst all SFs.
PG also attempted >11 3s per 100 while JB took just >8 per 100.
PG made nearly 40% of his 3s while JB made just 34% of his 3s.
PG fits the offense much better than JB in this regard, that’s objectively true.
PG helps Boston win the possession battle more and more
Part of the reason why Boston was so surprisingly successful last season was because they won the possession battle more often than not.
They committed the fewest TOVs, were 3rd in boxouts, grabbed the 7th-most offensive boards, had the 5th-highest OREB%, etc.
For all his strengths, JB‘s impact simply didn’t stem from this facet of the game.
’24-’26 JB was in the 51st percentile for steals, the 34th percentile for deflections, and the 17th percentile for sTOV%.
On the contrary, ‘24-‘26 PG was in the 95th percentile for steals and the 97th percentile for deflections. He was also in the 62nd percentile for sTOV%.
With JB on the floor, Boston‘s TOV% increased while their REB% decreased; the inverse was true for Boston’s opponents.
‘24-‘26 PG had the opposite effect for his teams (good).