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u/VendibleSkate8

r/Kalshi r/InstacartShoppers r/fivethirtyeight r/blackops2 r/thespinroom r/SFV r/ninjacreami
Dan J Sullivan (not the senator) has made the top 4 and advances to the general election in Alaska Senate
▲ 152 r/fivethirtyeight

Dan J Sullivan (not the senator) has made the top 4 and advances to the general election in Alaska Senate

😂😂

u/VendibleSkate8 — 2 days ago
▲ 125 r/fivethirtyeight

David Crowley’s internal from one week ago. The only scenario he won was using the 2022 electorate, 2 way h2h, and informed ballot. The “informed ballot” is almost always cope. This time it nailed it

u/VendibleSkate8 — 9 days ago
▲ 135 r/fivethirtyeight

Texas Pulse/TX Bush School ReconNR/Siena Research poll: Talarico 47% Paxton 43%

New Texas statewide poll by Siena, the same pollster the NYT uses though with a different sponsor. White vote is 51-40 Paxton, Hispanic vote is 54-40 Talarico, Black vote is 87-2 Talarico. Yes, 2.

static.politico.com
u/VendibleSkate8 — 14 days ago
▲ 228 r/fivethirtyeight

Jasmine Crockett skeptical of Senate candidate James Talarico’s prospects to win Texas

This woman lost her primary 5 months ago and is still a complete sore loser.

nbcnews.com
u/VendibleSkate8 — 15 days ago
▲ 120 r/fivethirtyeight

VoteHub is saying Haley Stevens is doing much better than expected in rural areas and has a path to victory depending on how well Detroit comes in for her.

x.com
u/VendibleSkate8 — 16 days ago
▲ 75 r/fivethirtyeight

EPIC-MRA Michigan general election: Rogers 46% El-Sayed 43%, Stevens 44% Rogers 42% for senate, Benson 47% James 38%, Benson 48% Johnson 36% for governor.

No link yet but these are the results.

reddit.com
u/VendibleSkate8 — 19 days ago
▲ 82 r/fivethirtyeight

Cook Political Report/Justice Research Group for Working Families generic ballot poll in 18 competitive house districts: Democrats 47% Republicans 38%

The districts are AZ-01, AZ-06, CA-22, CO-08, FL-25, IA-01, IA-03, MI-07, NJ-07, NY-19, OH-09, PA-07, PA-08, PA-10, TX-34, VA-02, WA-03, and WI-03

workingfamilies.org
u/VendibleSkate8 — 20 days ago
▲ 98 r/fivethirtyeight

SoCal Strategies Michigan poll: Abdul El-Sayed +17 over Haley Stevens in primary, Mike Rogers +1 over El-Sayed and Stevens +2 over Rogers in the general, recalled vote Harris +2

u/VendibleSkate8 — 21 days ago
▲ 17 r/Kalshi

Really should’ve done so much more😭

I put $5 on Graham Platner dropping out of the Maine senate race the morning the assault allegation came out when it was known there was a story coming but not what it was or how bad it would be.

u/VendibleSkate8 — 1 month ago
▲ 283 r/fivethirtyeight

Maine Secretary of State’s office confirms Graham Platner filed withdrawal paperwork and is no longer on the ballot

He was holding out on actually filing the withdrawal paperwork but he has now done so before the deadline.

u/VendibleSkate8 — 1 month ago
▲ 155 r/fivethirtyeight

Maine Democratic Party: Platner campaign repeatedly trying to put their thumb on the scale for his replacement

The Maine Democratic Party just posted an update on the situation and it appears Graham Platner and his team are repeatedly reaching out trying to influence the process/candidates who will be running to replace him. The party is telling them they have no role in deciding the nominee and nothing can move forward until he formally withdraws, which looks like will drag on longer.

u/VendibleSkate8 — 1 month ago
▲ 43 r/fivethirtyeight

Reliable source in Maine says there’s another Platner story coming Monday or Tuesday

This guy is trusted in Maine and has a lot of connections there, and he doesn’t make stuff up. He says another story is coming on Platner in the next couple days. Drop out deadline is July 13. It’s very odd that Platner has had no visible presence in days, and he was nowhere to be seen for 4th of July. Guess we will find out soon.

u/VendibleSkate8 — 2 months ago
▲ 2 r/InstacartShoppers

Anyone else getting notifications for batches and they never appear?

I go off the app, it gives me notifications of batches and none of the batches are actually there when I’m in the app. And it’s not because they all get taken immediately

reddit.com
u/VendibleSkate8 — 2 months ago
▲ 45 r/fivethirtyeight

Why have the most credible pollsters gone dark in Michigan?

Has anyone noticed that every poll that comes out of Michigan is either an El-Sayed internal, a republican pollster, or a complete unknown pollster? Nothing from EPIC-MRA, Emerson for months, YouGov, etc. A bit problematic that one of the most consequential primaries coming up has little to no quality data.

reddit.com
u/VendibleSkate8 — 2 months ago