u/Excellent_Debate_518

I’m 24 years old now, and my investment earnings have grown to $68K. The next target is clear: reaching $100K before the end of Q3 this year.

A big part of my focus right now is how global politics and business relationships are shaping the market. The recent Trump-Xi visit to China caught my attention because it brought together some of the most influential CEOs and companies tied to AI, semiconductors, manufacturing, and global supply chains.

I will be watching over $MU, $AAPL, and $NVDA.

$NVDA remains one of the most important AI names in the market, especially with ongoing discussions around chip access and China demand.

$MU is interesting because memory and semiconductor sentiment could shift quickly if trade relations stabilize further. And $AAPL is always worth watching given how deeply connected its business remains to China. I will be watching and executing these through bitget's stock futures for some quick scalp for now.

What's in your watchlist and how are gonna get to your first 100K?

Oil prices jumped above $114 per barrel on Monday, the highest in nearly four years, as Middle East tensions escalated. Iran stepped up attacks on UAE energy assets and vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, raising fresh supply concerns weeks after the U.S.–Iran ceasefire.

The UAE issued its first missile warning since April, and reports said an Iranian drone hit an oil facility in Fujairah. The port, a key hub for bypassing Hormuz, has gained importance as the strait remains closed to commercial traffic.

Brent crude futures for July delivery surged 5.8% to settle at $114.44 a barrel, marking their highest level since June 2022 and the biggest one-day gain since early April, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

West Texas Intermediate for June delivery rose 4.4% to close at $106.42 a barrel, reflecting broad strength across global oil benchmarks.

Investors also navigated conflicting reports around a potential Iranian strike on a U.S. warship in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s Fars News Agency claimed missiles hit a U.S. Navy vessel after it allegedly breached transit protocols, but U.S. Central Command denied the incident, stating no ships were struck and that forces remain engaged in enforcing the naval blockade on Iranian ports.

The situation unfolded as President Donald Trump announced a new initiative, Project Freedom, aimed at facilitating safe passage for neutral vessels through the Strait.

Brent crude had briefly surged above $125 per barrel last week, nearing a four-year high, though prices later pulled back and ended the month lower amid ongoing volatility.

OPEC+ announced a modest 188,000 bpd output increase, largely symbolic as supply disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz persist. The move excludes the UAE, which exited the group in May.

With limited ability to move oil, the increase is unlikely to ease prices in the near term. Ongoing U.S.–Iran tensions and uncertain diplomacy continue to drive volatility in global oil markets.

We’ve got multiple MAG7 earnings on my radar for April 29, and while it might look like a typical big tech earnings day, the setup feels different this time.

I’m not treating these stocks as a single group anymore. Each one is trading on its own narrative. Nvidia is still tied to AI demand, Microsoft to enterprise AI, and Meta to improved efficiency, while Apple and Tesla are still being evaluated on what comes next.

That shift matters, especially around earnings. These reports come out after market hours, and from what I’ve seen, that’s when the first real move starts to form. By the time the next session opens, a large part of that move is already priced in.

Having access to 24/7 trading changes how I approach this. That's how I'm executing it through Bitget's stock futures as I’m not limited to reacting later, I can actually engage with the move while the market is still processing the information.

For me, it’s less about predicting and more about preparing. I’m mapping out different scenarios ahead of time so I can respond based on how each company performs. If strength continues, I want to be involved early. If expectations unwind, I want to adjust just as quickly.

How are you treating MAG7 now?

No progress on US–Iran talks, tension still high, yet oil and metals pulled back.

But this is something I’ve seen play out many times. Markets don’t move on “what’s happening”… they move on expectations vs reality.

This usually confuses newer traders, but it’s pretty straightforward.
Markets already priced in the risk earlier. When nothing escalates, price often cools off. Add a stronger dollar and some profit taking, and you get a drop like this.

To me, this isn’t weakness. It’s a reset.

I'm approaching with Silver here, price rejected the highs around 81 and is now forming lower highs. That tells me short-term momentum has shifted.

Plan for now is simple:

Short on rejection
Entry: 77.5 – 79
Stop: above 80.5
Targets: 75 → 73.5

Or wait for breakdown
Entry: below 74.8
Stop: above 76
Targets: 73 → 71.5

I'm not chasing headlines blindly. But trading reactions at different key levels.

This kind of volatility is exactly why I prefer to execute silver as volatility creates opportunity. You can play both sides instead of guessing direction. Whenever the headlines pop up, I just make sure the reactions.

If price comes back to resistance, I’m looking for shorts. If support breaks, I follow the momentum.

What would you do here, fade the bounce or wait for confirmation?