u/KKirdan

Reason #1: If you know very little about something, your guesses are completely arbitrary.

Reason #2: We're bad at making guesses in general.

Reason #3: If your guesses are completely arbitrary, updating won’t bring you to the correct probability.

Reason #4: We should expect most guesses about the future to be wrong.

Reason #5: If your guesses are based on other people’s guesses, you might all be wrong.

Reason #6: People rarely offer extraordinarily low probabilities.

These include reducetarianism (reducing one's consumption of animal products, even if it's just something like "Meatless Mondays"), flexitarianism (often described as a predominantly, but not exclusively, plant-based diet), various forms of vegetarianism and semi-vegetarianism, conscious omnivorism (choosing animal products according to higher ethical or environmental standards), offsetting (compensating for the harms caused by animal products - for example, by donating to charities).

>I will be concerned with the plausibility of Epicurean ideas about pleasure, pain, good and bad. I’ll defend a contemporary interpretation of Epicureanism, or perhaps it should be called an idea inspired by Epicureanism, according to which tranquility and painlessness are better than kinetic pleasures, which have no or negative value. This text is more like a sketch for future work by myself or, even better, by others, rather than a thoroughly researched scholarly text.