Image 1 — The Story's Only Just Started
Image 2 — The Story's Only Just Started
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The Story's Only Just Started

I spent quite some time digging into Micron, and here is the result. I looked at how it is priced against its own history, put it through four pillars to weigh up its financial health and profitability, checked what insiders and analysts are doing, stacked it against its peers, and finished with a deliberately conservative DCF. In every way it came out looking great, and the numbers speak for themselves.

Growth
Growth is holding up, with revenue up 167.0% over the past year, net income up 710.7% and operating cash flow up 238.4%. Just look at the explosive revenue and net income growth, it only seems to be accelerating → https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=MU&metrics=revenue,netIncome,ocf&period=2&growth=yoy

Profitability
Profitability is a real strength, with gross margin of 72.6%, net margin of 55.9%, an OCF margin of 57.0% and ROIC of 44.2%, returns comfortably above its cost of capital.

Financial health
The balance sheet is in good shape, with a current ratio of 3.4×, assets at 4.0× liabilities and debt at 0.1× equity.

Peer comparison
On a TTM basis, operating cash flow went from ~$15B to ~$30B a 100% increase year over year. MU is growing OCF faster than any other semiconductor company at 170% CAGR over the last 2 years - The cheapest of the group → https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,AMZN,MSFT,MU&metrics=pocf&period=2

DCF
I ran a deliberately conservative DCF just 20% OCF growth against a conservative terminal P/OCF of 18×. Considering OCF is currently growing at 200% YoY and 100% on a TTM basis , using only 20% projected growth is already a steep haircut. Even so, MU still screens undervalued by 20%+.
https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=MU&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=20.00&dcf_terminal=18.0

Insiders and analysts
Analysts are mostly on side, with 51 of 55 rating it a buy. Price targets run from a low of $155 to a high of $1750, with a median of $1200. At $974 today it trades about 10% below the $1073 average target, so there is room to run. Insiders have been net buyers lately, a nice vote of confidence.

u/rebel-capitalist — 13 hours ago

Let the Numbers Talk

I spent quite some time digging into GOOGL, and here is the result. I looked at how it is priced against its own history, put it through four pillars to weigh up its financial health and profitability, checked what insiders and analysts are doing, stacked it against its peers, and finished with a deliberately conservative DCF. In every way it came out looking great, and the numbers speak for themselves.

Valuation (vs 5Y history)
• P/E of 27.4×, about 14% above its 5Y median of 24.0× and sitting toward the upper end of its 5 year range (82nd percentile).
• P/OCF of 25.2×, about 38% above its 5Y median of 18.3× and sitting toward the upper end of its 5 year range (95th percentile).
• EV/EBITDA of 26.9×, about 53% above its 5Y median of 17.6× and sitting toward the upper end of its 5 year range (96th percentile).

Growth
• Revenue is up 17.9% over the past year, growing at a healthy double digit clip.
• Revenue has compounded at 14.5% a year over three years, steady, durable growth over the medium term.
• Net income is up 29.6% over the past year, compounding at a strong double digit pace.
• OCF is up 30.2% over the past year, compounding at a strong double digit pace.
https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL&metrics=revenue,netIncome,ocf&period=10&growth=yoy

Profitability
• Gross Margin of 60.4%, best in class economics.
• Net Margin of 37.9%, elite bottom line profitability.
• OCF Margin of 41.3%, exceptional cash conversion from the top line.
• ROIC of 19.2%, efficient capital allocation.

Financial health
• Current Ratio of 1.9×, comfortable short term liquidity.
• Assets to Liabilities of 3.1×, assets comfortably cover its liabilities.
• Debt to Equity of 0.2×, very little debt against equity.

Overview Snapshot: https://stocknest.app/?tab=overview&tickers=GOOGL

Peer comparison
It also stacks up extremely well against mega-cap peers on operating cash flow. As the comparison shows, 30% YoY OCF growth justifies the 25x P/OCF multiple.
https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,AMZN,MSFT,META&metrics=pocf&period=2

DCF
For the DCF, the historical 2Y OCF CAGR is +35% but I used just 20% growth and a terminal P/OCF of 20× (vs. the 5Y median of 18.4×, so barely above historical). Even with those assumptions, GOOGL still comes out undervalued by 25%+. You're applying a below growth rate multiple to a business compounding cash flows faster than almost anything in the market.
→  https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=GOOGL&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=20.00&dcf_terminal=20.0

Insiders and analysts
Analysts are mostly on side, with 61 of 70 rating it a buy. Price targets run from a low of $220 to a high of $515, with a median of $410. At $359 today it trades about 10% below the $394 average target, so there is room to run. Insiders have been net buyers lately, a nice vote of confidence.

u/rebel-capitalist — 1 day ago

This is only the beginning ...

I spent quite some time digging into NBIS, and here is the result. I looked at how it is priced against its own history, put it through four pillars to weigh up its financial health and profitability, checked what insiders and analysts are doing, stacked it against its peers, and finished with a deliberately conservative DCF. In every way it came out looking great, and the numbers speak for themselves.

Valuation (vs 5Y history)
• P/E of 67.5×, about 17% below its 5Y median of 81.8× and sitting in the cheaper half of its 5 year range (30th percentile).
• P/OCF of 19.4×, about 20% below its 5Y median of 24.1× and sitting near the low end of its 5 year range (22nd percentile).

Growth
• Revenue is up 491.5% over the past year, compounding at a strong double digit pace.
• Revenue has compounded at 302.1% a year over three years, exceptional compounding over the medium term.
• Net income is up 191.3% over the past year, compounding at a strong double digit pace.
• OCF is up 1485.5% over the past year, compounding at a strong double digit pace.

Profitability
• Gross Margin of 72.1%, best in class economics.
• Net Margin of 93.1%, elite bottom line profitability.
• OCF Margin of 323.5%, exceptional cash conversion from the top line.
• ROIC of -3.0%, building toward stronger returns.

Financial health
• Current Ratio of 8.3×, comfortable short term liquidity.
• Assets to Liabilities of 1.5×, assets sit well above its liabilities.
• Debt to Equity of 1.2×, a moderate debt load against equity.

Overview Snapshot: https://stocknest.app/?tab=overview&tickers=NBIS

Peer comparison

NBIS trades cheaper than its own historical average, and cheaper than peers on a growth-adjusted basis. Operating cash flow has grown at a +370.37% CAGR over the past 2 years, yet the stock trades at just 19× P/OCF. Compare that to AMZN, trading at a similar multiple with only ~20% OCF CAGR over the same period.
Source:

OCF : https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=NBIS,CRWV,AMZN,MSFT&metrics=ocf&period=2&growth=yoy

Revenue & net income trend

Revenue and earnings are both still marching higher with zero erosion, +492% and +191% over the past year. A machine that just keeps compounding.

DCF

I ran a deliberately conservative DCF, using just 15% OCF growth, and a terminal P/OCF of 18×, below the 5 year median of 24.1×. Even then NBIS still screens undervalued by 25%+. The numbers speak for themselves.

https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=NBIS&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15.00&dcf_terminal=18.0

Insiders and analysts

Analysts are mostly on side, with 15 of 21 rating it a buy. Price targets run from a low of $120 to a high of $287, with a median of $206. At $217 today it already sits about 6% above the $203 average target. Insiders have been net buyers lately, a nice vote of confidence.

u/rebel-capitalist — 1 day ago
▲ 19 r/amzn+2 crossposts

Hear me out

AMZN is trading at 29.0× earnings and 17.7× operating cash flow, both ~30% below their 5-year averages of 51.2× and 21.2× the market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing at +14.2% YoY (TTM).

5-Year Valuation
P/E: 29.0× vs. 5-yr avg 51.2×
P/OCF: 17.7× vs. 5-yr avg 21.2×
P/B: 6.0× vs. 5-yr avg 8.2×
EV/EBITDA: 16.8× vs. 5-yr avg 19.6×

Analyst Ratings
Current price: $240
Price targets: $175 (low) to $370 (high), average $307.25 about 26.8% upside from current price

Insider Activity
More buys than sells over the last 6 months, signaling bullish insider sentiment.

4-Pillars
Growth: Revenue +14.2% YoY (TTM), net income +37.7%, EPS +36.7%. Net income outpacing revenue signals margin expansion.
Profitability: Solid margins at 50.6% gross and 12.2% net income margin. ROIC of 9.7% remains below average.
Management: ROIC of 9.7% and ROCE of 12.2%. SBC sits at 2.7% of revenue (13.3% of OCF), modest dilution relative to scale.
Solvency: Current ratio of 1.18× and interest coverage of 33.72× show ample liquidity and cushion on debt servicing. Debt to EBITDA of just 0.76× confirms a low leverage profile.

Overview snapshot: https://stocknest.app/?tab=overview&tickers=AMZN

DCF Read
Conservative 15% OCF growth rate and terminal P/OCF of 19× (below the 5-yr median of 21.2×) still shows AMZN undervalued by 25%+, versus its own historical OCF CAGR of 30%+.
OCF: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=AMZN&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15.00&dcf_terminal=19.0

Peer Comparison
Trading cheaper on P/OCF than its mega-cap peers on a historical basis
https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,AMZN,MSFT,META&metrics=pocf&period=2

Revenue & Net Income Trend
Both growing steadily, no erosion — 14% and 38% YoY respectively.
https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=AMZN&metrics=revenue,netIncome&period=10

u/rebel-capitalist — 1 day ago
▲ 13 r/MSFT

Hear me out

MSFT is trading at 23.2× earnings and 17.1× operating cash flow, both 32% below their 5-year averages of 33.4× and 25.8× — the market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing at +17.9% YoY (TTM).

5-Year Valuation
P/E: 23.2× vs. 5-yr avg 33.4×
P/OCF: 17.1× vs. 5-yr avg 25.8×
P/S: 9.1× vs. 5-yr avg 12.0×
EV/Sales: 7.0× vs. 5-yr avg 11.3×

Analyst Ratings
66 analysts covering: 23 strong buy, 38 buy, 5 hold
Price targets: $415 to $680, average $566, about 45% upside from $390

Insider Activity
More sells than buys over the last 6 months.

4-Pillars
Growth: Revenue +17.9% YoY (TTM), net income +29.6%, EPS +29.9%. Net income outpacing revenue signals margin expansion.

Profitability: Elite margins at 68.3% gross and 39.3% net income margin. ROIC of 21.6% reflects efficient capital allocation.

Management: ROIC of 21.6% and ROCE of 26.7% point to efficient capital allocation. Stock-based comp sits at 3.9% of revenue, modest dilution relative to the scale of buybacks and earnings growth.

Solvency: Current ratio of 1.28x and interest coverage of 52.69x show ample liquidity and cushion on debt servicing. Debt to EBITDA of just 0.21x confirms a very low leverage profile.

Overview snapshot : https://stocknest.app/?tab=overview&tickers=MSFT

DCF Read
Conservative 15% OCF growth rate and terminal P/OCF of 18× (below the 5-yr median of 25.8×) still shows MSFT undervalued by 25%+, versus its own historical OCF CAGR of 20%+.
OCF: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=MSFT&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15.00&dcf_terminal=18.0

Peer Comparison
Trading cheaper on P/OCF than its mega-cap peers on a historical basis
https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,AMZN,MSFT,META&metrics=ocf&period=2

Revenue & Net Income Trend
Both growing steadily, no erosion, 20% and 29% YoY respectively.
https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=MSFT&metrics=revenue,netIncome&period=10

u/rebel-capitalist — 1 day ago

Hear Me Out (Bullish)

Nebius is trading at 67.5× earnings and 19.4× operating cash flow both roughly 19% below their 5-year averages of 81.8× and 24.1×. The market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing +491.5% YoY (TTM), with net income growth right behind it at +191.3% (TTM YoY). Margins are elite: 72.1% gross, 93.1% net income. ROIC sits at -3.0%, still below average but the growth story is what stands out.

Vs. competitors: NBIS trades cheaper than its own historical average, and cheaper than peers on a growth-adjusted basis. Operating cash flow has grown at a +370.37% CAGR over the past 2 years, yet the stock trades at just 19× P/OCF. Compare that to AMZN, trading at a similar multiple with only ~20% OCF CAGR over the same period.
Source:

OCF : https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=NBIS,CRWV,AMZN,MSFT&metrics=ocf&period=2

P/OCF: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=NBIS,CRWV,AMZN,MSFT&metrics=pocf&period=2

Conservative DCF: Using just 15% projected growth for the next 5 years (vs. the historical 4Y CAGR of 32.56%) and a terminal P/OCF of 19× (below the 5Y median of 24.1×), NBIS still comes out ~20% undervalued.
https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=NBIS&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15.00&dcf_terminal=19.0

u/rebel-capitalist — 2 days ago

The numbers are hard to ignore

Valuation looks stretched on the surface 74.1× earnings and 71.9× operating cash flow, both sitting ~79% above their 5 year averages (33.3× and 53.4× respectively) but the growth backing it up is genuinely exceptional.

For context on how this stacks up against Micron, the revenue and OCF trajectory comparison is worth a look: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=SNDK,MU&metrics=revenue,ocf&period=2

Revenue is up +79.7% YoY (TTM), and net income is growing even faster at +420.3%, which tells you margins aren't just holding, they're expanding. That's the dynamic you want to see.
The margin profile is elite:

  • 56.0% gross margin
  • 34.2% net income margin
  • ROIC of 31.1% genuinely best in class capital allocation

EPS growth of +395.8% YoY compounds the story. When earnings are outpacing revenue by that magnitude, the operating leverage is real.

Obviously the premium multiple is the debate here, but the case for it is strong when earnings are compounding at nearly 4× revenue growth and ROIC is north of 31%, the market is simply pricing in what the fundamentals are already delivering. NAND pricing has structural tailwinds from AI infrastructure buildout, and if this margin profile holds even halfway, today's multiple looks cheap in hindsight.

u/rebel-capitalist — 10 days ago

Just Deployed £40,000 Into $MSFT

MSFT is currently trading at 21.9× earnings and 16.1× operating cash flow both 36% below their 5-year averages of 33.4× and 25.8× respectively. The market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing at +17.9% YoY (TTM).

It's trading cheaper than its mega-cap peers on a historical basis. https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,META,AMZN,MSFT&metrics=pocf&period=10

Net income growth of +29.6% and EPS growth of +29.9% are both outpacing revenue margins are expanding. With a 68.3% gross margin and 39.3% net income margin, Microsoft remains one of the most profitable businesses on the planet. ROIC of 21.6% reflects disciplined, high-quality capital allocation.

For the DCF, the historical OCF CAGR sits well above 20%, but I used a conservative 15% growth rate and a terminal P/OCF of 18× well below the 5-year median of 25.8×. Even with those heavily discounted assumptions, MSFT still comes out undervalued by 25%+.

DCF model: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=MSFT&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15.00&dcf_terminal=18.0

Analyst price targets over the past 12 months align with the DCF output the market may be sleeping on one of the most consistent compounders in history.

u/rebel-capitalist — 10 days ago

GOOGL Extremely Undervalued

I ran a conservative DCF on GOOGL and the results speak for themselves.

GOOGL is currently trading at 26.3× earnings and 24.2× operating cash flow, both 21% above their 5-year averages of 24.1× and 18.4× respectively. At first glance that looks like a premium. But here's the thing: when a company is compounding OCF at +35% CAGR over the past two years and growing net income at +44.3% while revenue only grew +17.5% YoY, the market isn't overpaying. It's catching up to a business that's fundamentally re-rated itself.

It also stacks up extremely well vs. mega-cap peers on operating cash flow. You can see the comparison here: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,AMZN,MSFT,META&metrics=ocf&period=2

Margins are elite. 60.4% gross margin and 37.9% net income margin with a ROIC of 19.2%. This is one of the most capital efficient businesses on the planet. EPS grew +45.0% YoY. The earnings machine is accelerating.

For the DCF, the historical 2Y OCF CAGR is +35% but I used just 20% growth and a terminal P/OCF of 20× (vs. the 5Y median of 18.4×, so barely above historical). Even with those assumptions, GOOGL still comes out undervalued by 25%+. You're applying a below growth rate multiple to a business compounding cash flows faster than almost anything in the market.

DCF model: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=GOOGL&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=20.00&dcf_terminal=20.0

u/rebel-capitalist — 10 days ago

MRVL Extremely Overvalued

I ran a DCF on MRVL and the results are hard to ignore.

Across every valuation metric, MRVL is sitting at or near the top of its 5-year historical range:

• P/E: 97.3× vs. 5Y median of 31.4× — near the 100th percentile (107.6×)

• P/S: 28.2× vs. 5Y median of 10.0× — above the 75th percentile

• P/OCF: 119.5× vs. 5Y median of 41.4× — near the 100th percentile (132.2×)

• P/FCF: 147.7× vs. 5Y median of 53.2× — near the 100th percentile (163.4×)

• P/B: 13.5× vs. 5Y median of 3.8× — near the 100th percentile (14.9×)

• EV/EBITDA: 91.7× vs. 5Y median of 57.4× — above the 75th percentile

This isn't one stretched multiple, it's every single one, simultaneously, near historical extremes. Source: https://stocknest.app/?tab=overview&tickers=MRVL

For the DCF, the historical 4Y CAGR comes in at 20.90% but I used an aggressive 30% growth and a terminal P/OCF of 41.4× (the 5Y median — already generous). Even with those optimistic assumptions, MRVL still comes out ~30% overvalued at its current price of $280.68. The growth is real, revenue +34.1% YoY, net income +614.1%, but at these prices, perfection is already baked in and then some.

DCF model: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=MRVL&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=30&dcf_terminal=41.4

u/rebel-capitalist — 11 days ago

This Is What Hypergrowth Actually Looks Like

NBIS is trading at 88.1× earnings and 25.4× operating cash flow, roughly in line with their 5-year averages the market is fairly pricing a business that is still in hypergrowth mode.

Revenue growth of +491.5% YoY (TTM) says it all. This isn't a mature compounder, it's an AI infrastructure company scaling at an extraordinary pace, and the market is starting to take notice.

Net income growth of +191.3% is lagging revenue as costs scale with the business, exactly what you'd expect at this stage. Gross margins of 72.1% show the underlying unit economics are strong.

For the DCF, I used a conservative 22% growth rate, a fraction of the current trajectory and a terminal P/OCF of 25×, in line with the 5-year median. Even at those tempered assumptions It's undervalued by 25% and the model supports the current entry point.

DCF model: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=NBIS&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=22.00&dcf_terminal=25.0

It's also trading close to its mega-cap peers on a historical basis. You can see the comparison here: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=NBIS,MSFT,GOOGL,AMZN&metrics=pocf&period=2

This is not a value play. It's a bet on AI infrastructure at scale and the revenue numbers suggest the thesis is already playing out.

u/rebel-capitalist — 12 days ago
▲ 80 r/MSFT

Just Deployed £40,000 Into $MSFT

MSFT is currently trading at 21.9× earnings and 16.1× operating cash flow both 36% below their 5-year averages of 33.4× and 25.8× respectively. The market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing at +17.9% YoY (TTM).

Net income growth of +29.6% and EPS growth of +29.9% are both outpacing revenue margins are expanding. With a 68.3% gross margin and 39.3% net income margin, Microsoft remains one of the most profitable businesses on the planet. ROIC of 21.6% reflects disciplined, high-quality capital allocation.

It's also trading cheaper than its mega-cap peers on a historical basis. https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,META,AMZN,MSFT&metrics=pocf&period=10

For the DCF, the historical OCF CAGR sits well above 20%, but I used a conservative 15% growth rate and a terminal P/OCF of 18× well below the 5-year median of 25.8×. Even with those heavily discounted assumptions, MSFT still comes out undervalued by 25%+.

DCF model: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=MSFT&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15.00&dcf_terminal=18.0

Analyst price targets over the past 12 months align with the DCF output the market may be sleeping on one of the most consistent compounders in history.

u/rebel-capitalist — 12 days ago

MU is Bellow Fair Value

Micron is trading at 58.2× earnings and 45.8× operating cash flow, both 277% above their 5-year averages of 20.5× and 9.7×. But that's a premium the market is willing to pay and rightfully so with revenue growing at +85.5% YoY (TTM).

Net income growth of +416.1% is outpacing revenue at +85.5%, meaning margins are expanding a sign the business is becoming more efficient as it scales. And the margins speak for themselves: 58.4% gross and 41.5% net income margin. ROIC of 27.8% puts it among the best capital allocators in the market.

Revenue +85.5% YoY · EPS +411.5% YoY · Gross Margin 58.4% · Net Margin 41.5% · ROIC 27.8%

The OCF story is what really gets me. On a TTM basis, operating cash flow went from ~$15B to ~$30B a 100% increase year over year. MU is growing OCF faster than any other semiconductor company at 170% CAGR over the last 2 years: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=MU,AMD,INTC&metrics=ocf&period=2

I don't see this slowing down anytime soon. Even running a very conservative DCF 30% growth rate with 30× terminal multiple the company still comes out ~30% undervalued: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=MU&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=30.00&dcf_terminal=30.0

Rarely see company stats this clean across the board https://stocknest.app/?tab=score&tickers=MU

u/rebel-capitalist — 12 days ago

AMZN Analysis

I ran a conservative DCF on AMZN and the results speak for themselves.

AMZN is currently trading at 29.3× earnings and 17.9× operating cash flow both 29% below their 5-year averages of 52.1× and 21.2× respectively. The market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing at +14.2% YoY (TTM). Net income growth of +37.7% and EPS growth of +36.7% are both outpacing revenue and margins are expanding.

It's also trading cheaper than its mega-cap peers on a historical basis. You can see the comparison here: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,META,AMZN,MSFT&metrics=pocf&period=10

For the DCF, the historical 4Y CAGR comes in at 31.73% but I used just 15% growth and a terminal P/OCF of 19× (vs. the 5Y median of 21.2×). Even with those conservative assumptions, AMZN still comes out undervalued by 25%+. At this point it's practically free money.

DCF model: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=AMZN&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15&dcf_terminal=19

Analysts' price targets over the past 12 months average $307, which is 25% above the current price matching exactly the DCF conservative range. Additionally, the last two months have seen significant insider buying activity https://stocknest.app/?tab=overview&tickers=AMZN

Just my own analysis and perspective.

u/rebel-capitalist — 14 days ago

$NVO Extremely Undervalued

I ran a conservative DCF on NVO and here are the results

NVO is currently trading at 10.3× earnings and 10.6× operating cash flow both ~63% below their 5-year averages of 32.4× and 25.0× respectively. The market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing at +8.1% YoY (TTM). Net income growth of +16.6% is outpacing revenue, and margins remain elite: 81.8% gross margin, 37.2% net income margin, with ROIC of 34.8% placing it among the best capital allocators in the market. The balance sheet is healthy too, at 0.9× debt/EBITDA.

The valuation gap between NVO and LLY is enormous.

Compare NVO and LLY on P/OCF: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=NVO,LLY&metrics=pocf&period=5

Compare NVO and LLY on PE: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=NVO,LLY&metrics=pe&period=5

For the DCF, I used just 11% growth (vs. NVO's 4Y CAGR of 21%) and a terminal P/E of 12× half the 5-year average. Even with those conservative assumptions, NVO still comes out undervalued by ~20%.

DCF : https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=NVO&dcf_metric=eps&dcf_growth=11&dcf_terminal=12

LLY trades at 38.9× earnings and 48.1× OCF, vs. NVO's 10.3× and 10.6×. LLY has grown faster net income up 127.6% YoY vs. NVO's 16.6% but you're paying nearly 4x the multiple for a name now facing its own valuation scrutiny after that scale of growth.

u/rebel-capitalist — 16 days ago
▲ 74 r/amzn

AMZN is Extremely Undervalued

I ran a conservative DCF on AMZN and the results speak for themselves.

AMZN is currently trading at 29.5× earnings and 18.0× operating cash flow both 29% below their 5-year averages of 52.1× and 21.2× respectively. The market seems to be underpricing the business despite revenue growing at +14.2% YoY (TTM). Net income growth of +37.7% and EPS growth of +36.7% are both outpacing revenue and margins are expanding.

It's also trading cheaper than its mega-cap peers on a historical basis. You can see the comparison here: https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,META,AMZN,MSFT&metrics=pocf&period=10

For the DCF, the historical 4Y CAGR comes in at 31.73% but I used just 15% growth and a terminal P/OCF of 19× (vs. the 5Y median of 21.2×). Even with those conservative assumptions, AMZN still comes out undervalued by 20%+. At this point it's practically free money.

DCF model: https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=AMZN&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=15&dcf_terminal=19

Not financial advice - just my own analysis and perspective.

u/rebel-capitalist — 18 days ago

I Ran a DCF Analysis on GOOGL

GOOGL is trading at 27.5× earnings and 25.2× operating cash flow, both ~26% above their 5-year averages of 24.2× and 18.3× a premium the market is willing to pay given revenue is growing at +17.5% YoY (TTM) and OCF +31%.

Net income growth of +44.3% is outpacing revenue growth of +17.5% (TTM YoY), a clear sign margins are expanding.

Margins are elite, 60.4% gross and 37.9% net income margin. ROIC of 19.6% reflects efficient capital allocation.

The balance sheet is healthy at 0.6× debt/EBITDA, generating 15.2% FCF margins despite capex running at 26.0% of revenue.

Revenue +17.5% YoY (TTM) · EPS +45.0% YoY · Gross Margin 60.4% · Net Income Margin 37.9% · ROIC 19.6% · D/EBITDA 0.6×

I ran a conservative DCF on OCF. TTM OCF growth is +31% YoY against a 4-year CAGR of 15.78%, but growth has been accelerating recently so using the 5-year median P/OCF of 18.3× as a terminal multiple felt too conservative. I set it to ~21×, which still seems reasonable assuming ~20% OCF growth going forward. On that basis, the stock looks undervalued by around ~20%.

DCF : https://stocknest.app/?tab=dcf&tickers=GOOGL&dcf_metric=ocf&dcf_growth=20&dcf_terminal=21

Also interesting to note that GOOGL's operating cash flow is growing faster than its Big Tech peers, with a 4-year CAGR of +33.58% the strongest in the group.

https://stocknest.app/?tab=compare&tickers=GOOGL,META,AMZN&metrics=ocf&period=2

Not financial advice - just my own analysis and perspective.

u/rebel-capitalist — 21 days ago

The Market Is Pricing Reddit Like It's Dying. The Numbers Say Otherwise

Reddit is trading at 49.1x earnings and 39.7x operating cash flow, both 57% below their 5-year averages of 124x and 84x. The market is pricing in stagnation for a company growing revenue +70.6% YoY with net income up +505%.

Let's look at what the numbers actually say.

91.5% gross margins. 30.8% net income margin. ROIC of 34.3%. Debt-free. 46.9% FCF margins. This isn't a struggling platform, it's one of the cleanest balance sheets and most capital-efficient businesses in tech.

The META comparison is what gets me.

META trades at 20.7x earnings and 11.8x OCF. Reddit at 49x and 40x looks expensive on the surface. Run it properly:

Reddit is growing earnings ~85x faster than Meta, generating double the FCF margin, with a cleaner balance sheet and trades at only 2.4x the P/E multiple. That's not obviously expensive. That might be cheap.

Source :::

Compare RDDT : stocknest.app/?t=RDDT&m=pocf,pe&p=1

ScoreCard 4.7/5 Excellent: stocknest.app/?t=RDDT&tab=scorecard

reddit.com
u/rebel-capitalist — 24 days ago
▲ 208 r/WebSoftGiveaway+12 crossposts

I built a free stock fundamental analysis app, no paywalls, no subscriptions, 25+ years of data

Tired of paying $30–$50/month just to see a company's ratios or balance sheet from 10 years ago, so I built StockNest. Completely free, no account required with 120+ metrics

https://stocknest.app/

Data comes straight from SEC EDGAR filings with reconciliation passes to keep the numbers accurate and consistent.

What it includes:

Compare : chart any combination of metrics across up to 5 tickers simultaneously. 120+ metrics across income statements, balance sheets, cash flows, valuations, and margins. TTM, quarterly, and annual. 2Y / 5Y / 10Y / All-time ranges. Share any comparison through a URL.

Financials : full income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement side by side. Annual and quarterly views.

Scorecard : 1–5 scoring across Profitability, Management, Growth, and Financial Health. Each score is based on real thresholds like net margin, ROIC, and debt/EBITDA. Interactive sparklines for every metric, expand charts, and trend arrows showing improvement or deterioration over the last year. Tracks the last 12 quarters.

Growth : YoY table with 3Y / 5Y / 10Y CAGRs for revenue, earnings, EPS, FCF, and OCF. Quarterly sparkline charts included.

DCF : pre-filled from historical data. EPS, FCF/share, or OCF/share. Tune growth rate, decay, terminal multiple, and discount rate. 5Y or 10Y horizon.

Screener : filter by 20+ valuation, profitability, return, and health metrics. Sortable results, click any ticker to jump straight into a comparison.

US-listed companies only for now. Would love to hear what you think.

u/AceReviewer — 4 days ago