Source: https://t. me/Operatyvnyi\_Donbas/147240
Post body
❗️Yesterday during the day, after the destruction of a waste collection vehicle, the next Russian drone went in search of vehicles in the Shumensky microdistrict of Kherson🇺🇦
Additional information
🔗 t. me/kherson\_non\_fake/34212
A fiber-optic FPV drone entered from the side of Belozerskaya Square and spotted a route bus moving near “ATB” on Blagoeva Street.
After this, the operators struck the public transport vehicle.
It was reported from the scene that the drone maneuvered for a relatively long time, and people nearby managed to scatter to safer locations.
Source: https://t. me/kherson\_non\_fake/34231
Post Body from Ryzhak Telegram Channel
The closer the elections get, the more pressure there is on the candidates.
And the disruption of campaign materials is just petty mischief.
Much more unpleasant is the situation with the electoral commission refusing to accept my photo in military uniform.
Yes, the election officials actually banned the publication of my photo in military uniform.
Probably, I stand out too much against the backdrop of business suits.
Meanwhile, candidates from "United Russia" are allowed to do so.
Even those who served in volunteer formations for a month or two.
They are generally allowed to do many things that others are not.
I am grateful to the "FAIR RUSSIA" party for their support in this situation.
I am also convinced that, in fact, participants and veterans of the Special Military Operation do not have any party affiliation.
Our only party is the Fatherland.
But the election officials clearly do not see it that way.
And they divide veterans into "their own" and "outsiders," "right" and "wrong," "convenient" and "inconvenient."
This is very misguided.
I believe that such an approach is destructive and anti-state.
But an official often doesn't want to look beyond the edge of their desk.
And in doing so, they risk jeopardizing the entire country.
Source: https://t. me/knryzhak/1212
Post Body
1/ A major Ukrainian advance in eastern Ukraine is finally being admitted by Russian warbloggers, who say it's a major setback that will prolong the battle for Donbas for at least a year. False reporting by Russian commanders is being blamed. ⬇️
2/ As highlighted in the thread linked above, Ukrainian forces – operating in secret, and aided by persistent Russian falsification of territorial control in reports to their own high command – have retaken a major salient and over 200 km² of occupied territory.
3/ The implications for the Russian campaign to take the whole of the Donbas by the end of this year are severe, with this goal now likely impossible, according to Russian warblogger Oleg Tsarev:
4/ "The situation on the Liman front is difficult. The AFU are maintaining pressure along the Karpivka–Ridkodub–Katerinovka line and are intensifying it from the south, near Drobysheva and the northern part of Liman.
5/ "Russian forces are making desperate efforts to hold their lines. The AFU are attempting to break through to the Kolodiazi area from two directions in order to cut off the salient near Shandryholove.
6/ "If they succeed, the situation in this sector would be set back by at least a year, and the enemy would secure the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration from the north."
Citing @clement_molin's thread above, 'Artjockey' is equally gloomy. He notes:
7/ "This is the third of three known Ukrainian offensives conducted by the AFU this year. It is the most successful because it addresses a truly strategic objective, disrupting the Russian operation to advance on the Kramatorsk agglomeration...
8/ "This also confirms what Michael Kofman [@KofmanMichael] and other analysts wrote in the spring: the AFU is gradually beginning to employ combined arms tactics, conducting mechanised assaults with the support of other assets, suppressing drone operators,…
9/ …and successfully achieving their objectives, contrary to the popular belief that this is not possible in the current conditions. Previously, mechanised assaults were successful in the area of Velyka Novosilka; now, in the area of Lyman.
10/ "Meanwhile, the Russian Armed Forces continue to adhere to a tactic of probing attacks, which the AFU has learned to counter. The AFU is transitioning to a new level of military art, although their tactics still rely on probing attacks.
11/ "It appears that negative trends for Russia exist not only in the rear and in the economy, but also on the front lines.
12/ "Everything is pointing towards a fundamentally different picture next year, not a trade of territories as is happening now, but a clear recovery of Ukrainian territory.
13/ "It is unlikely that the Russian Armed Forces will be in a deep defensive posture. I predict that it will look like a frontal assault on Kramatorsk and Sloviansk with minimal advances, while the AFU will take advantage of this and conduct similar localised offensives…
14/ …in various areas where they have identified weaknesses or where a favourable front line configuration has emerged."
'Rybar' says that "a critical juncture has been reached", and castigates false reporting by Russian commanders as a key factor in their tactical defeat:
15/ "From the direction of Ridkodub, Ukrainian formations have been launching methodical southward attacks for months, achieving at least tactical gains.
16/ "Footage showing the evacuation of an M113 near Karpivka reveals that Russian units lack control even over the airspace in the immediate vicinity of the front line.
17/ "Under these conditions, serious questions arise as to whether Russian forces still hold Shandryholove and the surrounding small villages, which the enemy has already assaulted.
18/ "North of Lyman, Ukrainian formations are massing in Stavky and deploying small groups to the outskirts of Zarichne, as well as toward Yampolivka. There are also reports of sabotage groups reaching the Terny area.
19/ "If confirmed, this would spell major trouble for Russian troops operating west of the Zherebets River. It is possible that the approach to Lyman from the direction of Zarichne has also been lost.
20/ "Footage showing Russian units striking enemy infantry groups on the southeastern outskirts of Lyman indirectly points to a dire situation within the city itself.
21/ "Even if Ukrainian formations have not yet established a firm foothold in specific areas, their massive presence in the southern part of Lyman is undeniable. Under these circumstances, Russian control over Staryi Karavan, Brusivka, and Dibrova is highly questionable.
22/ "The tactical situation could worsen further due to the—alas—predictable reaction of local command; in an attempt to conceal the true state of affairs, they will likely throw all available forces into a frantic effort to contain the fallout and engage in 'crisis management.'
23/ "Based on experience from the Kupiansk sector—where similar issues were addressed through ill-prepared assaults—this approach will lead to further casualties.
24/ "Diverting reserves from other areas within the "West" Group of Forces' zone of responsibility to plug gaps near Lyman will create vulnerabilities in the defense that the enemy will undoubtedly exploit.
25/ "Thus, tactical setbacks—which are not, in themselves, critical—could escalate into strategic-level problems due to misjudgments and systemic dishonesty in upward reporting.
26/ "Not only does this make top officials in the Ministry of Defence and the state leadership appear out of touch with the reality on the ground, but urgently rectifying the situation will also require…
27/ …vastly more resources than a measured, calculated response to the AFU offensive would have entailed." /end
Source: https://x.com/chriso\_wiki/status/2097382392558223367
Threader Unroll: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2097382392558223367.html