Image 1 — For the first time in 25 years of data, half of all billionaire wealth in the world was earned in competitive sectors
Image 2 — For the first time in 25 years of data, half of all billionaire wealth in the world was earned in competitive sectors

For the first time in 25 years of data, half of all billionaire wealth in the world was earned in competitive sectors

An analysis of 7,000 billionaires over the past 25 years, based on data from Forbes, Hurun and Gapminder, shows a serious shift in the structure of global wealth: for the first time in a quarter-century of records, half of the combined fortune of the world's billionaires belongs to honest self-made entrepreneurs from open, competitive fields - tech founders, retailers, financiers and builders of consumer brands. The share of so-called "uncompetitive" and murky capital (commodity oligarchs, construction developers, the gambling business, defence contractors and other enthusiasts of state budgets and political connections), together with plain inheritors, has fallen to an all-time low.

The turn didn't happen at once: from 2001 to 2014 the share of old money and inheritance was actually creeping up, and only over the past decade did the trend reverse. The fortunes of classic commodity-type oligarchs have been shrinking steadily since 2021. Three drivers helped: the wild stock-market bull run of recent years, the expansion of China's middle class, and the explosion of mobile internet, which made it possible to scale any service to billions of users overnight.

The second thing worth noting is that, even as capital has been getting cleaner, political attacks on the rich have peaked (the word "billionaire" was used more than 900 times in a single session of the US Congress), while the economic case for confiscating honestly earned fortunes has objectively weakened.

u/bradnobred — 7 days ago
▲ 106 r/Slovenia+3 crossposts

There's an income level beyond which happiness stops rising. Only one country in the world has crossed it

Research on income and well-being has identified a "satiation point": a level of earnings beyond which money no longer adds to a person's joy in life. Remitly, drawing on work from Purdue University and data from the International Labour Organization, calculated this "price of happiness" for 50 countries and compared it with the average local wage. Almost everywhere, the average worker falls short of the threshold.

The only country where wages have crossed that threshold is Slovenia. There the average wage is about $42,800 and the price of happiness $36,800, meaning earnings run 16% above the level beyond which happiness no longer grows. No other country crosses the line.

Next on the list come not the wealthiest economies but, for the most part, Eastern Europe. Luxembourg (92.8% of its threshold), Estonia (90.5%), Singapore (90.0%), Lithuania, Czechia, Latvia. Seven of the top eleven spots went to Central and Eastern European countries. Their wages are modest by global standards, but their price of happiness is low too, so the gap between the two stays small.

For the rich, high-wage countries the gap is the opposite, huge, because their price of happiness climbs even faster than pay. In the US the average wage is the third-highest in the study, $75,300, yet it covers only 55.8% of the local happiness threshold of $134,800. Australia's price of happiness is the highest on the list, $161,300, double the average wage. The UK, Canada and New Zealand are in the same trap: wages are high, but they're further from their own expensive happiness than workers in less wealthy Eastern Europe.

u/Fun-Astronaut3409 — 12 days ago

How Academic Specialization Directly Shapes the Formation of Student Political Views

According to a study by Yoav Goldstein and Matan Kolerman-Shemer, covering more than 300,000 students at 450 American colleges, a student's academic specialization directly shapes the formation of their political views. The choice of field, whether the humanities, economics, or technical disciplines, doesn't just set a career path but also sets the direction of students' ideological evolution over the course of their studies.

Humanities students on average become considerably more liberal over their years of study. Future economists and businesspeople, by contrast, lean toward conservative positions. And the gap between them in liberalism reaches 0.23 standard deviations - comparable to a person having lived for six years in a deeply Democratic county.

What's especially interesting: this isn't the influence of one's surroundings - peers play almost no role. The changes happen through course materials, professors, and the very logic of thinking that a discipline instills.

That's why even liberally inclined applicants who enter economics come out more moderate or conservative. And the reverse - even conservative humanities freshmen become more left-leaning after four years.

u/bradnobred — 19 days ago

By a much-quoted forecast, white Britons become a minority by 2063

Headlines like "white Britons will become a minority by 2063" are spreading across social media. Those posts trace to a single source, a report by Professor Matt Goodwin for the Centre for Heterodox Social Science (2025). By his figures, the white British share falls from 73% today to 57% by 2050, below half by 2063, and to about a third (33.7%) by 2100. The non-white population rises over the same span from 19.7% to 59.3%, and Muslims from 7% to nearly 20%.

It's worth seeing how the count works. Goodwin treats as "white British" only someone with no immigrant parent. Under that definition, a person with at least one parent who came to the country drops out of the category automatically, even if born in Britain and living there their whole life. Critics note that by this logic neither Winston Churchill nor King Charles would qualify as white British. A large part of the predicted "minority" comes from where the category's boundary is drawn.

There's a second point. This is a forecast 75 years out, and projections that long are extremely sensitive to assumptions about migration and fertility, which can turn within a single political cycle. The official statistics agency (ONS) doesn't publish ethnicity projections at all, and independent academic work at this depth is updated rarely, so the much-quoted "2063" figure has almost no recent peer-reviewed counterpart to check it against.

What's genuinely beyond dispute is the direction. Britain is growing more ethnically diverse, and the non-white share has risen across censuses: 9% in 2001, 14% in 2011, 26% in 2021 for England and Wales. What comes after that? We'll see.

u/bradnobred — 24 days ago
▲ 522 r/theydidthemath+1 crossposts

The average US undergraduate's IQ has fallen to 102, and a degree no longer signals high intelligence

The correlation between IQ and educational attainment has weakened noticeably over the past decades. Where getting into university was once the privilege of a relatively small group of people with high academic ability, the mass expansion of higher education has radically changed the makeup of the student body. According to a meta-analysis of 106 studies spanning 1939 to 2019, the average IQ of US undergraduate students has steadily declined. Where the belief that students score well above the population once rested on data putting them as high as 115 to 130, in recent decades the samples have dropped to around 102, only slightly above the population average. At first glance this trend may look like evidence of falling cognitive ability among students. But the more likely explanation is the widening of access to higher education. When universities were attended by a relatively small and carefully selected part of the young population, student samples naturally showed a high average IQ. As the share of entrants grew, higher education began taking in people with far more varied abilities, interests and career goals. As a result, the student average inevitably began to approach that of the population as a whole. This means that a degree today is no longer as strong a signal of high intelligence as it was a few decades ago. Higher education increasingly serves the functions of social mobility, professional training and credentialing, rather than selecting exclusively for the most intellectually gifted. As universities become a mass institution, the link between cognitive ability and educational status weakens.

u/bradnobred — 1 month ago
▲ 299 r/SomervilleAudit+4 crossposts

Why half the Western World faces the same rent burden as Developing Regions

Half the world's renting households spend more on rent than is considered healthy. According to the new UN-Habitat report, 44% of the planet's tenants pay more than 30% of their income on housing. You'd expect the whole weight to fall on poorer regions. But the gap between poor and rich turned out far smaller than expected. In Sub-Saharan Africa the share of rent-burdened households is the highest in the world, 55%, and the reasons are plain: low and irregular incomes, almost no formal rental supply, widespread informality. In Latin America and the Caribbean it's 48%. But in Europe and Northern America it's nearly the same: rent is out of reach for one renter in two, 50%. Western economies have essentially caught up with Latin America and sit right up against the African figures. The causes differ - the West runs into zoning rules, interest rates and expensive construction, while poorer regions run into informal economies and thin housing supply - but the strain that lands on the tenant's wallet comes out almost the same.

u/bradnobred — 2 months ago
▲ 175 r/EconomyCharts+1 crossposts

Asian American Families Just Redrew the Economic Map of the US

For years, Asian households were hidden inside “Other” in the Fed’s wealth tables. In 2022, the Fed expanded the sample and separated them out for the first time. It changed the chart.

Median net worth came out around $536,000 for Asian families. White non-Hispanic families were around $285,000. Hispanic families were at $61,600. Black families were at $44,900. The income data tells the same story: Asian households also lead by median household income.

That is interesting. This was not an old American rentier class sitting on centuries of inherited capital. Much of the Asian American population comes from immigrant families.

Maybe that is selection, education, family structure, STEM-heavy careers, high-income sectors, business ownership, a culture that treats upward mobility almost like an obligation - whatever the exact mix is, the result is hard to ignore. A group that was once buried in a statistical leftover category did not merely enter the American economy. Once counted separately, it appeared at the top of the wealth table.

u/bradnobred — 2 months ago
▲ 273 r/EU_Economics+2 crossposts

In 1999 German and Swiss industry started together. Today there's a chasm between them

The franc kept getting stronger for twenty years straight. By every rule that should have killed Swiss exports. It did the opposite. Since 1999 Swiss industrial production is up 90%, Germany's is up 15% and has basically stalled. Both are export economies, on the same global supply chains, under the same hits: 2008, Covid, expensive energy. The conditions were shared.

An expensive currency works like a whip. When the franc keeps climbing, a Swiss plant can't coast: either you cut costs and push efficiency, or your product gets too pricey and you're driven out. The strong Deutsche Mark used to whip German firms the same way, and German industry was built around that pressure. Then the euro arrived, the currency went soft, and the whip was gone. The numbers catch it directly: unit labour costs in Switzerland have barely moved since 2008, while Germany's crept up and accelerated after 2020.

Without the whip, everything else started to sag. German public debt reached 63% of GDP, and after the "debt brake" was loosened in early 2025, it's expected to head toward 100% by 2035. Switzerland sits at 36% and still falling, the budget is balanced, public spending is half the size as a share of GDP, and the work week is longer on top of that. One country stayed in shape because it was forced to. The other stopped once nothing was forcing it.

Many add German politics into it: looser fiscal discipline, swollen social commitments, a flood of regulation, and right-leaning commentators put it more bluntly, that a left-green turn swapped the priority from producing to redistributing. Whether that's the cause or just the backdrop stays an open question.

u/bradnobred — 2 months ago
▲ 543 r/labrats+2 crossposts

The U.S cut the seed money for new science in half

New grant funding from the National Science Foundation fell sharply in 2025. Through May 21, the NSF had funded about $989 million in new grants. The 2015–2024 average for the same period was about $2 billion. That is a 51% drop.

The cut did hit no only one field. The largest 2025 buckets were geosciences ($204m), computer science ($192m), biology ($147m), and math, physics and chemistry ($143m). Engineering, technology, social sciences and education were smaller on the chart.

The slowdown came during a wider fight over federal science funding. The Trump administration moved to reverse DEI-related research priorities, NSF grants were reviewed for banned topics, DOGE-linked pressure reached the agency, and more than 1,000 active grants were reportedly cancelled.

This matters because new grants are where future research begins. Fewer new grants in 2025 means fewer labs hiring, fewer students funded, fewer field projects started, and fewer early ideas getting a chance to become real work.

u/bradnobred — 2 months ago
▲ 76 r/Ophthalmology+4 crossposts

The First Human Trial to Reverse Cellular Ageing

According to Nature, the first patient has been treated in a clinical trial using cellular reprogramming. This gene-therapy approach is designed to push aged or damaged cells back toward a younger state. For now, researchers are not targeting whole-body youth - they are focusing strictly on the eye.

Life Biosciences is testing its therapy, ER-100, in people with glaucoma or NAION, two conditions where the optic nerve loses its ability to properly carry visual information to the brain. The choice of target is deliberate. The eye is small, accessible, and far easier to monitor than most organs, giving researchers a practical environment to test the science.

If the experiment succeeds, it will mean that damaged human cells can actually be made to behave younger inside a living person. Even with success, it won't mean we can "reverse aging" anytime soon, but we will certainly be able to selectively improve our quality of life

u/Ready_Ninja1921 — 2 months ago
▲ 46 r/finance+2 crossposts

The AI boom is making Big Tech behave like capital-hungry industrial firms

For two decades, Alphabet ran the ultimate internet playbook: search dominance, ad money, endless cash flow, and steady buybacks. Now, the company is issuing up to $80bn in new stock to bankroll its AI buildout. This capital raise signals a massive pivot. AI isn’t just another software update for Big Tech; it is forcing an internet giant back into a physical, capital-intensive world of power grids, custom chips, and data centers. The real question is whether this infrastructure spend will actually generate returns. If the gamble pays off, Alphabet locks in its lead before the competition becomes prohibitively expensive. If it fails, Google will have diluted its existing shareholders just to fund one of the costliest and most speculative capex cycles in corporate history. The deal structure also shows who is really winning here. Everyday retail investors aren't getting the best terms. Instead, Berkshire Hathaway is stepping in with a $10bn private placement, securing an institutional edge before the rest of the market can even participate.

u/Ready_Ninja1921 — 3 months ago
▲ 105 r/school+1 crossposts

Why do schools start so earl? California fixed it.

California became the first state to legally push back school start times. Now, middle schools can’t start before 8:00, and high schools can’t start before 8:30. Before this, there was no single standard: tons of schools could easily start around 7:30, or even earlier. Medics have been saying for ages that teenage sleep cycles are shifted compared to adults. Teens fall asleep later and handle early mornings worse, but for years, schools kept waking them up anyway, tracking the metrics and feelings of adults. Judging by the data, this experiment completely paid off. Kids actually started sleeping more: the share of those getting at least 8 hours of sleep went up by 13%. In the data for 15-18 year old, there were fewer wake-ups before 6 and 7 AM, and the average sleep duration grew by about 43 minutes. Then, grades caught up too. 8th graders saw their results in math and English go up by about 0.08-0.10 of a standard deviation. Hispanic students and kids from economically weaker families improved the most. School stats also show a drop in dropout rates and suspensions, but the authors are more cautious with conclusions here. But here comes another correlation. Turns out, not just students, but teachers started waking up later too. Which means part of the effect could’ve come from teachers being less wrecked. The authors use old schedules and teacher arrival times as a proxy, but completely cutting these two effects apart is still tough.

But either way, if it brings results, why not do it everywhere?

u/Ready_Ninja1921 — 3 months ago

How sleep duration directly influences biological aging

A recent publication in Nature challenges the classic dogma regarding the universal benefit of eight hours of sleep. Researchers from the MULTI consortium analyzed data from half a million people, mapping their sleep duration against twenty-three distinct biological aging indicators ranging from organ macrostructure MRI scans to plasma proteomics and metabolomics. The conclusion reveals a rigid U-shaped curve where both short sleep of less than six hours and long sleep of more than eight hours correlate with accelerated bodily decay and higher mortality risks. But the most interesting finding lies in the asymmetry of this process at cellular and organ levels.

The optimal youth window representing the minimal gap between biological and chronological age varies from 6.4 to 7.8 hours depending on sex and the specific organ. For instance, brain macrostructure remains best preserved at a spartan 6.5 hours, whereas the central nervous system requires closer to 7.7 hours to restore protein homeostasis.

  • Short sleep acts as direct systemic stress. It correlates genetically and clinically with a cascade of somatic disasters: ischemic heart disease, heart failure, type two diabetes, and systemic inflammation. This process represents a forced physiological wear on peripheral body systems.
  • Long sleep carries a completely different nature. Excessive sleep targets the brain and links to severe psychiatric disorders like depression, schizophrenia, and bipolar disorder.

The authors emphasize a fundamental nuance: long sleep is often a compensatory mechanism rather than the root cause of pathology. The body attempts to sleep away already initiated hidden neurodegenerative aging or adipose tissue exhaustion. Ultimately, sleep biohacking involves a strict physiological compromise. Attempting to sleep less than six hours rapidly wears out the cardiovascular system and disrupts metabolism. Conversely, entering a nine-hour slumber may serve not as a sign of excellent rest, but as an early marker that your brain and internal organs have already begun losing the fight against aging.

u/bradnobred — 3 months ago
▲ 16 r/WomenInBusiness+2 crossposts

Why The Child Penalty Follows Female Entrepreneurs Into Their Own Companies

New data from Norway shows that the child penalty cuts much deeper than traditional corporate careers. Having a child does more than reduce a woman's personal income. It actively drags down the financial performance of the business she owns.

Researchers tracked private companies from 2001 to 2018 to see what happens after founders have their first child. For female-owned firms, the reality is tough. Profits steadily drop and stay roughly 30% below pre-birth levels even ten years later. Men face a completely different situation. Instead of a decline, businesses owned by fathers actually tend to expand, seeing a boost in revenue, operating costs, and headcount.

This gap persists even though Norway offers some of the best parental support in the world. The country provides generous paid leave and heavily subsidized childcare, with nearly all children enrolled in preschool by age three. Yet, when a young business relies heavily on its founder, formal state safety nets cannot replace her actual time, decisions, and daily presence.

u/bradnobred — 3 months ago
▲ 88 r/visualization+1 crossposts

The world is running out of young people before it runs out of people

The world has officially crossed a demographic point of no return - what the late Swedish statistician Hans Rosling famously called "peak child." According to the latest 2024 UN projections, global reproduction has slammed on the brakes: the number of children under five peaked back in 2017, the under-15 cohort topped out in 2021, and the under-25 group maxed out in 2024.

From an anthropological standpoint, this signals the end of the "great aggression" era. Historically, a massive surplus of restless youth has always been the raw fuel for wars, revolutions, and street violence. Right before our eyes, the planet is turning into a massive, slow-moving, conservative nursing home where safety is valued far above change.

This shift is just a precursor to global "peak population." While UN bureaucrats are still coasting on inertia, projecting growth up to 10.29 billion by the 2080s, alternative estimates look much more realistic. They expect a historical high of 9.4 to 9.6 billion by the mid-2050s, followed by a sharp drop-off.

u/bradnobred — 3 months ago
▲ 10 r/urbandesign+1 crossposts

Everything is trying to plug into the grid at the same time

Data centers have become the ultimate scapegoat for the upcoming power crunch. They are very easy to picture because everyone sees the endless AI warehouses, server racks, massive cooling fans, and local protests. This visibility turned them into a physical symbol of a much larger shift where our entire economy is going electric.

Bloomberg data suggests this panic is off base. Data centers are expanding fast because of AI, but the real surge in global electricity demand through 2030 will still come from factories, electric cars, appliances, air conditioning, and heating. The grid crisis is not just about AI burning through power. The real issue is that every single industry is trying to plug into the wall at the exact same time.

This does not give tech companies a free pass. Their facilities still drain local water, take up land, and strain regional substations. However, blocking new builds just targets the loudest symbol instead of fixing the root cause. The real challenge involves figuring out how to rewire a grid for a world where computing, transit, manufacturing, and daily life all demand massive amounts of energy simultaneously.

u/bradnobred — 3 months ago
▲ 99 r/StayAtHomeDaddit+3 crossposts

Dads spend more time with kids now

Modern fatherhood has quietly become one of the bigger changes in the social role of men. Compared with Boomer fathers, Millennial dads spend more than twice as much time on childcare. Compared with Silent Generation grandfathers, almost four times as much. In 1965, a typical married American father spent barely half an hour a day actively taking care of children. Today, thirty-something Millennial dads spend more than 80 minutes on diapers, homework, driving, sports, reading and play.

Part of this came from women entering the workforce, but that explanation does not fully work. Mothers’ childcare time also rose, and the biggest jump in fathers’ childcare came later than the biggest collapse of the old male-breadwinner household. The more revealing detail is who changed the most: richer, college-educated fathers. In the 1960s, dads with a bachelor’s degree spent only about 9 extra minutes a day with kids compared with dads without a high-school degree. Now the gap is about 46 minutes.

That makes modern fatherhood a strange thing. The men most able to outsource boring domestic work are the ones pouring more time into children. Part of it is simple: many fathers actually enjoy it. In time-use surveys, dads rank time with children as one of the most enjoyable parts of the day, behind only time with friends. But it is also status anxiety. Childhood became a project. Sports, tutoring, schedules, applications, the quiet fear that if you do not start early, your kid falls behind.

There is also less backup than before. Families are more isolated, community life is weaker, grandparents and relatives are often less available as daily help. Tasks that once spread across a larger family network now fall back onto the nuclear family. So fathers are more present, but not in some clean romantic way. They have less free time, less rest and more pressure, while mothers still carry more of the stressful planning and mental load.

The odd result is that many dads are both more exhausted and more satisfied. They report less rest, less free time and more overwhelm, but also say more often that life is close to ideal and that they would change almost nothing. Modern fatherhood did not simply become easier or fairer. It became heavier, more meaningful, and much harder to half-ass.

u/Ready_Ninja1921 — 3 months ago
▲ 27 r/monte_video+2 crossposts

This is a good visualization of how lowest-low fertility stopped being a local European oddity.

The threshold here is extremely low: a total fertility rate below 1.3 children per woman. In the mid-1990s, this still looked like a problem of a few rich or post-socialist European countries. Spain, Italy, Germany, Czechia, Slovenia, Latvia. A bad signal, but not yet a new map of the world.

Then East Asia moved deep into the same zone. South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Macao. In some of these places, 1.3 no longer even looks like the floor, because fertility has fallen much lower.

But after 2020, the more interesting shift did not happen in Europe or East Asia. The same category began to pull in parts of Latin America, a region long imagined as younger, more traditional, and demographically safer. Chile, Uruguay, Colombia, Argentina, Puerto Rico, and Costa Rica now appear on the same map as Italy, Spain, and South Korea.

And this is where the old label starts to break.

A TFR below 1.3 no longer describes one type of future. One country may soften the shock through migration, human capital, public health, and stronger institutions. Another may grow older, lose people, become poorer, and have no real way to attract new workers.

So yes, lowest-low fertility has become much more global. But its consequences will not be global in the same way. The same number now groups together places that may be heading toward very different demographic futures.

u/bradnobred — 4 months ago

If a school is weak in some particular county, the conversation usually gets reduced to money very quickly: give that county more funding, and the gap will start to close. But recent research points to a very different relationship. Authors affiliated with the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis argue that a child’s outcome depends not just on the school budget, but on the entire local bundle at once: how much is spent per student, what wages education leads to later, how expensive housing is, and what it costs to move. So the county here is not just background around the school. It is the environment itself that determines what education really costs and what it ends up giving back.

But here is the interesting part. Weak counties do not lag behind only because they have less funding. They lag behind because the overall return to education there is lower: the link to demand for educated labor is worse, and access to the places where that labor is needed most is weaker. That means the same extra dollar does not produce the same result in every county. In the “right” places, education simply converts into life outcomes much better. The model shows this pretty brutally: parents without a college degree are more sensitive to rent, which means part of the advantage of “good” places gets shut off by the price of access. Inequality is not sitting only in the classroom. It is also sitting in the ticket price to the county where that classroom actually starts to matter.

A simple equalization of school funding really does help children from weaker families: their probability of going to college rises by 1.4 percentage points. But that same measure pulls resources away from the places where demand for educated workers is highest. The system then starts producing people in the wrong places, and aggregate output falls by 0.5%. So this anti-inequality reform is not running into greed or some abstract “injustice.” It is running into a country that is already mapped in a particular way, where good schools, expensive housing, and strong labor markets have been locked together for a long time.

u/bradnobred — 4 months ago