Nemo.money - A SpaceX Rocket Just Crashed Into the Moon. Days Earlier, It Posted Its First Results as a $1.7 Trillion Public Company. Welcome to Space Investing.
In one week, SpaceX dropped its first-ever earnings as a public company and a leftover SpaceX rocket stage crashed into the Moon. Both tell you something about the hottest, most misunderstood sector on the market.
The earnings (4 Aug): revenue up 92% to $7.8bn, Starlink now 12m subscribers, but still lossmaking (a $541m loss) with ~$18bn of capex in one quarter, mostly AI. Musk talked up $1tn revenue by 2030. The stock fell anyway, it's now ~36% off its post-IPO high. Even 92% growth isn't enough when you're priced for perfection.
The Moon crash (~5 Aug): a spent Falcon 9 upper stage from a Jan 2025 launch drifted for a year and slammed into the Moon, leaving a crater up to ~16ft deep. Harmless, but it spotlighted space debris (46,000+ tracked pieces in orbit) and the regulation that's likely coming.
But "space" isn't one trade.
The space economy is already ~$600-690bn, heading past $1tn within a decade (Morgan Stanley). It's really five different bets:
- Launch: Rocket Lab (RKLB). SpaceX + China are 50%+ of all launches.
- Satellite broadband (the profit engine): Starlink dominates; AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) chases satellite-to-phone.
- Earth observation: Planet Labs (PL) and co, imaging Earth for defence and climate.
- Defence primes (where the boring money is): Lockheed (LMT), Northrop (NOC), Boeing (BA), RTX, L3Harris (LHX), the old guard quietly booking most of the actual space profits.
- Moonshots: lunar landers like Intuitive Machines (LUNR), tourism, in-space logistics, big dreams, tiny revenue.
India is booming in space.
India's space economy (~$8.4bn now, targeted at ~$44bn by 2033) is having a moment, ISRO's famously low-cost missions (Mars, a 2023 Moon landing), and in July 2026 Skyroot's Vikram-1 became India's first privately-built rocket to reach orbit, with ~400 space startups now active. The catch: the exciting ones, Skyroot, Agnikul, Pixxel, Digantara, are all privately held, so retail investors can't directly buy in. The nearest listed "play" is quirky: Solar Industries (India-listed), an explosives and propellants maker that's invested in Skyroot. Same lesson as everywhere in space: the boom is real, but the pure exposure often isn't for sale.
Prefer to explore Space Stocks and ETFs?
ETFs like Procure Space (UFO) or ARK Space & Defense (ARKX) bundle the lot. Nemo.money's "Space" Neme does similar, splitting into "Space stocks" and a "Space-linked ETF" tab across launch, satellites, the defence primes and tourism.
The honest catch:
- The pure-plays are savage: in one recent month SpaceX, Rocket Lab, ASTS, Planet Labs and Intuitive Machines all fell ~34-43%.
- It's literally rocket science: hardware fails, and discarded junk craters the Moon.
So SpaceX made investing in space feel real, but it's far bigger than one stock, and split between speculative pure-plays swinging 35% a month and unglamorous defence giants quietly making the money.
Does development in the space industry excite you?