u/Kira1Cloud

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After two full quarters holding zero US equities, Peter Thiel's fund went all in on energy and utility plays that make up 72% of their new 8-stake portfolio across the full power supply chain. Could power infrastructure be the next under-the-radar AI trade no one's talking about?

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The whole AI hardware supply chain is shifting right now — compute, memory and optical sectors are all locking in on advanced packaging as the next growth driver. After pushing GPUs and HBM as far as we can with node scaling, the only way to keep cranking bandwidth and power efficiency up is stacking more components in one package. This isn't just a final manufacturing step anymore, it's the core performance play post Moore's Law. anyone positioning for this space right now?

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Commercial space is no longer just government-led exploration — it's fast becoming a legitimate institutional asset class, and Goldman Sachs even calls this the "Second Space Age." Lower launch costs, flooding private capital and a wave of public listings are pushing the space economy to be a brand new industrial pillar. Check out SpaceX's latest shareholder structure that lays this whole shift out clearly. The 20D performance of top star tech names like SPCX, ORCL and MSFT here is pretty wild.

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New weekly expirations for 9 key ETFs covering DRAM, Bitcoin, emerging markets, energy and top sector plays just went live starting this Monday. It unlocks way more flexibility to structure targeted short-term trades and adjust risk across gold, semis, crypto and EM assets. Who's already mapping out setups for the new expiry windows out there?Is this considered good news for Bitcoin?

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Earnings Calendar Source >>
There are tons of earnings reports coming out this week, but only a handful are really worth watching

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Earnings week is coming, and the options market is already pricing some pretty big moves.

Pulled a few names I'm personally watching next week:

🔥 BIDU — ~±7.2%
🔥 BABA — ~±5.7%
🔥 LOW — ~±5.7%
🔥 HD — ~±5.1%
🔥 WMT — ~±4–5%
🔥 DE — ~±4–5%

These aren’t predictions — just the implied moves currently being priced into options.

BIDU probably caught my eye the most. A ~7% expected move is pretty spicy for a large-cap.

BABA is interesting too. The market is pricing roughly a 6% move, but BABA has definitely shown it can make much bigger moves around earnings.

Then you’ve got LOW / HD / WMT — the “boring” mega-caps that somehow turn into absolute chaos once earnings hit 😂

The funny thing about earnings is that sometimes a stock moves exactly as much as the options market expects…

…and sometimes it completely blows through the expected move.

That’s where things get fun. 👀

Anyone else holding through earnings on these?

If you could pick ONE stock to hold through earnings, which one are you taking?

BIDU / BABA / LOW / HD / WMT / DE

👇 Let’s see who has the most questionable earnings play.

The AI infrastructure rally is picking up real steam. Anthropic is locking in 20-year, multi-billion dollar compute contracts, while CoreWeave just posted another blowout quarter: revenue more than doubled, backlog blew past $100 billion. The whole neocloud supply chain is evolving way faster than most folks had priced in. Caught this full trend breakdown on moomoo earlier, curious how everyone here is playing this run?

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SpaceX crushed Q2 earnings with 66% QoQ revenue jump to $7.81B, operating loss narrowed 93% quarter over quarter. Its AI segment just turned profitable, pushing the $1T valuation target much closer. Checked the numbers on moomoo, this kind of beat has market chatter heating up fast.

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Amazon's strong AWS results gave the whole tech sector a much-needed breather, with the stock popping over 20% in two days. But now Bezos is offloading shares – is this a red flag, or just a routine move? Pulled this chart up on moomoo to track the momentum shift.

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Amazon's latest quarter came in hot, revenue up 19.6% YoY to hit $200.6B, with net income surging 244.9% YoY. AWS notched its fastest growth in five years, crushing EPS and revenue consensus. That kind of AI cloud tailwind is hard to ignore — who else is watching how this momentum plays out for the rest of the year?

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Arm posted 22% YoY revenue that beat consensus, no one got the data center CPU revenue bump they were hoping for. The post-market slide hit 5.29% fast, caught a lot of long positions off guard. Chart pulled from moomoo, anyone else holding through this dip?

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AMZN reports July 30 and honestly the AWS acceleration story is solid, 31.2% growth expected vs 28.4% last quarter. Hard to argue with that.

But the thing I keep coming back to is $48.72B projected CapEx. That's a lot. And AWS operating margin is expected to drop from 37.7% down to 33.45%. The moo.moo feed has been all over this name ahead of earnings, lots of people bullish on the AI spend thesis.

I get it, Anthropic + OpenAI partnerships are real tailwinds. P/E sitting at 27.68x is also not crazy for this level of growth. But at some point management has to show the CapEx is actually converting to free cash flow, not just revenue.

Average post-earnings move is 5.71%, IV running at 44.19%. Anyone else trying to play the vol here or just holding through?

I'm long but not adding before the print. The margin compression is the bear case nobody seems to want to talk about.

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Azure numbers expected around 39-40% growth and revenue somewhere near $87B. On paper that's solid. But $35B in quarterly CapEx with 100%+ growth year over year? That's the thing I keep coming back to.

Pulled up the valuation on MooMoo and MSFT is sitting at a P/E around 22.73x, apparently in the first percentile of its 5-year range. Like genuinely historically cheap for this name. And yet they've only beaten and rallied 4 of the last 12 earnings. So "cheap" hasn't mattered much.

The gaming side is bleeding layoffs while the AI infra keeps eating cash. At some point free cash flow has to catch up to the story, right?

ngl I'm holding a small position into July 29 but I'm not adding. The remaining performance obligations number ($633B, up 97%) is the bull case. The CapEx spiral is the bear case. Both feel real.

Anyone else positioned into this one, or sitting it out until the dust settles?

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Been watching $INTC grind through this turnaround for a while now, ngl the Q2 numbers were better than I expected.

Revenue hit $16.13B, up 25% year over year, beat consensus by almost $2B. DCAI segment alone was $6.3B, up 59% YoY. Gross margin expanded to 40.4%. Foundry losses narrowing too, though external foundry revenue is still tiny at $293M.

The bull case is that AI infrastructure demand is finally pulling Xeon 6 hard, and the manufacturing side is slowly cleaning up. The bear case is the CapEx is insane, over $20B guided for 2026, and free cash flow is nowhere near covering that. 14A ramp is a 2028 story at best.

I pulled up the chart on moo.moo after the print and held my position, kinda still processing whether this is the real inflection or just a strong quarter before the capex wall hits.

Anyone else holding into the next few quarters, or are you fading this rally given how far the stock has to go before the foundry actually makes money?

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Been shifting some weight toward dividend ETFs lately just to sleep at night. The three I keep coming back to are VIG, SCHD, and VYM.

VIG has a $129.5B AUM and a 0.03% expense ratio but only ~1.5% yield. SCHD sits at ~3.2% yield with $100.6B AUM. VYM is in the middle at ~2.3%. If you want income now, SCHD wins on yield. If you're more growth-tilted with a dividend layer, VIG makes more sense imo.

Pulled some of the screening details from MooMoo community and honestly the methodology differences matter more than people think. VIG screens for dividend growth history, SCHD weights on cash flow and ROE. Not the same bet at all.

ngl I used to chase yield and learned the hard way that high yield doesn't mean safe yield. These three at least filter for sustainability.

Anyone here actually holding one of these through the current chop? And do you treat dividend ETFs as a core position or just a hedge layer?

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$MU down 8%, $WDC down 9%, $STX down 6%, all on the same day $AAPL hit a record high and $MSFT, $AMZN, $GOOG, $META each popped roughly 3%.

That's not noise. That's a full rotation out of semis and into hyperscalers, and it happened fast.

Been holding some MU since earlier this year and tbh I saw this setup coming but still didn't trim enough. The memory names got crowded, everyone and their mom was in the "AI infrastructure" trade, and now the market is asking a different question: ok who's actually making money from AI?

Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson basically called this, the cycle moves from hardware to monetization. Hyperscalers need to show faster cloud growth, real AI revenue, and manageable margins before the next leg up. Pulled the chart on moomoo and the divergence on July 15 looked brutal in real time.

The bull case for semis isn't dead, but this rotation stings if you were overweight memory going in. Anyone else get caught offsides, or did you see the handoff coming and already shifted toward the cloud names?

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Q2 revenue came in at €9.33B vs €8.85B expected, net income beat by a solid margin too, and gross margin hit 54% when consensus was at 52%. Then they turned around and raised full year guidance to €43-45B. Not a small bump.

The part that actually caught my eye on the moomoo chart: the ~30% capacity expansion planned for 2027, then another ~30% in 2028. That's cumulative 69% more output over two years. The bear case has always been "demand slows, ASML gets caught overbuilding." But the whole thesis here is the opposite, supply has been the bottleneck, not demand. They're not guessing on customers, TSM, Samsung, Hynix, and MU are all locked into memory expansion cycles.

Memory revenue alone is expected to jump ~75%. That's not a blip.

ngl I trimmed some last quarter thinking the run was getting stretched, been kicking myself since. I'm not adding at these levels but I'm definitely not selling either. Anyone still holding or did you take profits on the guidance pop?