What do you think about WWIII fearmongering?
Considering:
- MAD.
- Proxy wars.
- Interdependence.
- Multilateralism.
- Money.
- Capitalist Peace theory.
- Multinational companies.
- Global organizations, treaties, and diplomatic norms structurally reducing the likelihood.
- Even a small direct confrontation between the major powers would have effects so big that none of the parts would want.
- Fear and UN actually helped to prevent direct battles or escalating.
- Current detection and prevention technology.
- Polarization.
- Hacking, cyberattacks and informatics.
- Competence on influence and economy.
- Shadow war theories.
- Russia-Ukraine is already showing the effects of an attempt of expansion.
- Cold War having changed warfare theory forever.
- There are no two main blocks, battles are contained and the support isn't direct.
From my POV, though the fear and attention is necessary to prevent, the fearmongering is just an useless extreme that shock people. Heck, why do we still think that, if it happens, it would be traditional or use nukes in first place when for decades indirect battles showed to work?
"We are closer than ever", uh, do you know Cuban Missile Crisis or Able Archer 83? Like, yeah, we are in a serious situation, but not like that. A "global civil war" is actually more likely.
