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u/offgramercy

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▲ 933 r/pics

Random kid on the beach was excited to see my camera and said “put me in the papers” [OC]

u/offgramercy — 16 hours ago
▲ 377 r/NBAEastMemeWar+1 crossposts

“President Jalen Brunson” is now officially more likely to happen than “Nets win the 2027 championship”

u/offgramercy — 4 days ago
▲ 37 r/knicks

Knicks are still the East's 2027 title favorite. How the conference's odds shuffled since the Finals + free agency, per betting markets:

I'm honestly surprised Boston is still priced that high after yesterday. Same with GSW getting that much of a boost just off LeBron speculation.

Methodology, code, and full data can be viewed here.

u/offgramercy — 4 days ago
▲ 1.1k r/dataisbeautiful

[OC] How the 2026 World Cup title favorites have shuffled since the tournament kicked off, per betting markets

Methodology + code here

Every team's odds of winning the World Cup, from the day before kickoff to now. Each line runs until the team was actually knocked out, then its flag drops.

Probabilities are inferred from ~$3.7B of betting volume.

Edit: free real time version on https://cupcharts.com dm or comment feature requests, happy to add all things world cup x betting odds since im scraping that data anyway

u/offgramercy — 4 days ago
▲ 49 r/dataisbeautiful

[OC] How 3 days of NBA free agency reshuffled all 30 teams' 2027 championship odds, per betting markets

Methodology, code, and full data can be viewed here.

u/offgramercy — 4 days ago
▲ 37 r/dataisbeautiful

[OC] How 2027 NBA title odds shifted this offseason, per betting market odds

Methodology, code, and full data can be viewed here.

The numbers below run from the day before the Knicks won, so they include the Finals result and everything after.

Risers

  • Sixers: 1.3% to 4.4%. Traded Paul George for Jaylen Brown.
  • Raptors: 1.1% to 3.7%. Traded for Kawhi Leonard.
  • Warriors: 2.2% to 4.5%. Re-signed Al Horford and LeBron might join?
  • Timberwolves: 2.2% to 4.4%. Added LaMelo Ball.
  • Cavaliers: 1.6% to 3.3%. No major move yet but LeBron might join?

Droppers

  • Spurs: 20.6% to 16.2%. Lost the Finals.
  • Nuggets: 5.0% to 3.8%.
  • Suns: 2.1% to 0.9%.
  • Wizards: 1.5% to 0.9%.

Notes

  • OKC: ~20% to ~19.7%. Favorite start to finish. Slips only because others gained.
  • Heat spiked to 6.8% right after the Giannis trade, then cooled to 4.8%.

Data as of July 1, 2026.

Edit - Minor correction: Jaylen Brown deal was agreed Jun 30th (where I labeled it) but finalized/announced Jul 1st, I should’ve moved the dotted line accordingly (but the Celtic odds in my post are still accurate)

u/offgramercy — 4 days ago