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u/bauernebel

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▲ 36 r/oil

Can Oil Keep Flowing If Trump’s Iran Ceasefire Collapses Near Hormuz?

With new U.S.-Iran strikes near the Strait of Hormuz, the big question may not be whether the ceasefire survives politically — but whether oil shipments can keep moving if the fighting keeps escalating.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important energy corridors. Trump is threatening to “complete the job” against Iran, while Tehran and its proxies are again accused of targeting ships and Gulf states. At the same time, commercial vessel traffic is reportedly still continuing.

So what is the most realistic scenario here?

Does Iran actually have the ability and incentive to seriously disrupt oil flows through Hormuz, or would that hurt Tehran and its neighbors too much? And if the U.S. keeps striking Iranian coastal radar, drone and missile sites, does that make shipping safer — or increase the risk of a wider regional war?

americareport.us
u/bauernebel — 8 days ago
▲ 20 r/Askpolitics

Should a U.S. president have such a prominent role at a global sports final?

FIFA President Gianni Infantino has said that Donald Trump will help present the trophy to the winning team at the World Cup final in New Jersey on July 19.

Putting aside the soccer side of it, I’m curious about the political optics: How common or appropriate is it for a sitting U.S. president to take such a prominent ceremonial role at a global sporting event?

Supporters might argue that the U.S. is one of the host countries, so it makes sense for the president to be visible at the final. Critics might argue that it gives Trump a huge personal image moment on a global stage and blurs the line between sports, diplomacy and domestic politics.

How do you see it: normal host-country symbolism, smart political branding, or too much politicization of a global sports event? https://americareport.us/trumps-world-cup-moment-he-will-hand-over-the-trophy/

u/bauernebel — 12 days ago
▲ 8 r/PoliticalDiscussion

What explains Trump’s repeated use of the number 22 — verbal habit, exaggeration, or political signaling?

I’ve been reading about Donald Trump repeatedly using the number 22 in very different contexts: claims about Iran, the economy, his medical exam, Washington fountains, newspaper coverage, travel time and even military training.

Some examples are straightforwardly odd or inaccurate. He reportedly claimed Washington has 22 fountains, when the actual number is lower. He has also referred to 22 Nobel Prize-winning economists, 22 medical specialists and U.S. pilots training for 22 years.

This has led to a few interpretations. One is that it is simply a verbal habit, similar to Trump’s frequent use of phrases like “two weeks” or large round numbers such as 10,000. Another is that it is just a rhetorical device: a specific-sounding number can make a claim seem more concrete. A more speculative interpretation is that the number 22 carries political symbolism because of the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms.

How should we understand this kind of repeated language from a political figure? Is it meaningful political messaging, a normal rhetorical tic, or just another example of Trump using memorable numbers loosely? https://americareport.us/trumps-number-mystery-why-does-the-president/

u/bauernebel — 12 days ago