[Murray] Terms from LA Clippers:

Incoming: Max Strus, Max Strus' hair

Outgoing: 
- draft rights to Ismael Kamagate
- 2027 PHI second round pick (2nd-most favorable)

Clippers intend for Strus to be a major rotation piece, so this is not a re-route situation
▲ 43 r/nba

[Murray] Terms from LA Clippers: Incoming: Max Strus, Max Strus' hair Outgoing: - draft rights to Ismael Kamagate - 2027 PHI second round pick (2nd-most favorable) Clippers intend for Strus to be a major rotation piece, so this is not a re-route situation

bsky.app
u/StrategyTop7612 — 13 hours ago
▲ 2.7k r/nba

[Update] The 0.5 LeBron James Club- A compilation of players with half or more of LeBron's career totals in the primary box score stats.

u/InexorableWaffle did this post a year ago. So I figured I'd update it.

The methodology is simple: to make the club, you need at least half of LeBron’s current career totals in all five categories.

LeBron finished 2025-26 with 43,440 points, 12,016 assists, 12,095 rebounds, 2,417 steals, and 1,185 blocks, making the new Half-LeBron thresholds 21,720 points, 6,008 assists, 6,048 rebounds, 1,209 steals, and 593 blocks.

With that said, here’s the club:

Player Points Assists Rebounds Blocks Steals
LeBron James 43,440 12,016 12,095 1,185 2,417
Kobe Bryant 33,643 6,306 7,047 640 1,944
James Harden 29,339 8,873 6,809 683 1,794
Clyde Drexler 22,195 6,125 6,677 719 2,207
Half LeBron James 21,720 6,008 6,048 593 1,209

Drexler is barely hanging on. His 22,195 career points are only 475 above the current threshold. Another 951 LeBron points would raise Half-LeBron above Drexler’s career total and kick him out of the club.

Kobe’s weak point is assists. He finished with 6,306, compared with the current Half-LeBron line of 6,008. LeBron would need another 597 assists to push the threshold past him.

Active players who could join

Jokić

He’s at 18,009 points, 8,977 rebounds, 6,080 assists, 1,041 steals, and 589 blocks.

That means he already clears the rebound and assist thresholds and is really close in blocks, four blocks short of Half-LeBron.

He needs another 3,711 points and 168 steals at the current thresholds, though obviously LeBron will continue raising both numbers this season.

Still, Jokić is only 31 and just averaged 28/13/11 assists last season. Of everyone outside the club, he looks by far the most likely to eventually get there.

Giannis

Giannis is closer in some categories than Jokić and much farther away in another.

He has 21,531 points, 8,882 rebounds, 4,484 assists, 995 steals, and 1,088 blocks.

He’s only 189 points short of the current scoring threshold and already annihilates the rebound and block requirements. But assists are a huge problem: he still needs 1,524 just to reach today’s Half-LeBron mark, plus another 214 steals.

So Giannis should clear four of the five eventually, but whether he can ever catch the assist line, especially while LeBron keeps raising it, is the real question.

KD

He has 32,597 points, 8,254 rebounds, 5,280 assists, 1,235 steals, and 1,344 blocks.

He clears literally everything except assists.

Unfortunately, he’s still 728 assists short of the current cutoff, and he’s 37. I don't see it happening tbh.

The “one stat away” club

There’s also a second group I find interesting: players who clear four of the five Half-LeBron thresholds and are excluded by exactly one category.

Missing points:
Scottie Pippen

Missing assists:
Karl Malone, Michael Jordan, Dirk Nowitzki, Kevin Durant, Carmelo Anthony, Hakeem Olajuwon, Dominique Wilkins, Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Vince Carter, Charles Barkley, Robert Parish, Larry Bird

Missing rebounds:
None

Missing blocks:
Russell Westbrook

Missing steals:
Nobody

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 1 day ago
▲ 236 r/baseball

Kyle Tucker pulls a reverse Tungsten Arm’o’Doyle as he goes 0-5 with no strikeouts and 2 dropped catches, including not getting a hit off a position player and Edwin Diaz goes 1.0 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 0 BB, 0 K. ERA up to 11.85 as the dodgers win on the road, 11-5.

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 2 days ago
▲ 1.9k r/panthers+1 crossposts

[OC] Steph Curry shoots 42.3% from three after Panthers wins and 35.2% after Panthers losses

In Steph's first NBA game after a Panthers win, he shoots 42.3% from three.

After a Panthers loss?

35.2%.

That's a 7.1 percentage-point difference, and it's statistically significant (p = .013).

The Warriors also win 76.8% of Steph's games after Panthers wins compared with 56.4% after Panthers losses.

Source for Steph's panther fandom: https://www.nba.com/news/the-athletic-how-the-currys-carolina-panthers-fandom-became-a-family-affair

Background

Steph Curry isn't just a casual Panthers fan.

He grew up in Charlotte, attended Panthers games during their inaugural 1995 season, and has described himself as a lifelong fan. In 2025, Curry said he tries not to miss Panthers games.

During last season, Curry interrupted his pregame workout to watch a Panthers game against San Francisco. Warriors staff have reportedly noticed how closely he follows Carolina when Panthers and Warriors games happen on the same day. The same report described Curry looking visibly disappointed before a Warriors game following a Panthers loss.

Methodology

I collected Curry's regular-season game logs from his rookie season in 2009-10 through 2025-26 and matched them against Carolina Panthers regular-season results from the corresponding NFL seasons.

For every Panthers regular-season game, I found Steph's first NBA regular-season game afterward, provided:

  • Curry played within the next seven days
  • the NBA game occurred on a later calendar date
  • the Panthers game did not end in a tie

I excluded same-day games because without incorporating exact NFL and NBA finishing times, I couldn't guarantee Steph knew the Panthers result before playing.

This produced:

  • 69 Curry games after Panthers wins
  • 78 Curry games after Panthers losses

Each Panthers game appears only once in this analysis.

Results

STAT AFTER PANTHERS WIN AFTER PANTHERS LOSS CHANGE P-VALUE
Points 23.87 22.74 +5.0% .488
3PM 3.86 3.28 +17.5% .124
3PA 8.80 9.26 -5.0% .456
3P% 42.3% 35.2% +7.1 pts .013
FG% 47.5% 41.7% +5.8 pts .012
Assists 6.52 6.14 +6.2% .422
Rebounds 4.74 4.86 -2.5% .756
Steals 1.78 1.55 +14.9% .284
Turnovers 2.93 3.05 -4.1% .650
Minutes 33.38 33.64 -0.8% .764
Warriors Win % 76.8% 56.4% +20.4 pts .014

The Warriors are also MUCH more likely to win on top of Steph Shooting better.

When Steph's previous Panthers game was a victory, Golden State won:

53 of 69 games: 76.8%

Following Panthers losses:

44 of 78 games: 56.4%

That's a 20.4 percentage-point gap.

Fisher's exact test gives p = .014.

Furthermore, take 2015:

The Panthers went 15-1 in 2015.

The Warriors went 73-9 in 2015-16.

Steph won unanimous MVP. What are the chances that both teams had their best regular season in the same year?

So, If you are a Warriors fan, you better pray Bryce Young has a good season this year...

u/StrategyTop7612 — 4 days ago
▲ 271 r/nba

If you swung every 1 possession result (1-3 point win or loss) one way, here are the floors and ceilings of every team from the 2025-26 season

East

  • Pistons: 50 - 66
  • Celtics: 51 - 63
  • Cavaliers: 50 - 57
  • Knicks: 44 - 57
  • Hawks: 39 - 54
  • 76ers: 39 - 53
  • Hornets: 41 - 50
  • Raptors: 39 - 50
  • Magic: 34 - 50
  • Heat: 37 - 47
  • Bucks: 26 - 38
  • Bulls: 21 - 37
  • Pacers: 12 - 25
  • Nets: 18 - 24
  • Wizards: 15 - 19

West

  • Thunder: 59 - 70
  • Spurs: 54 - 67
  • Nuggets: 45 - 65
  • Rockets: 47 - 61
  • Lakers: 45 - 56
  • Suns: 38 - 55
  • Timberwolves: 43 - 53
  • Clippers: 35 - 50
  • Trail Blazers: 36 - 47
  • Warriors: 32 - 43
  • Mavericks: 21 - 33
  • Pelicans: 24 - 31
  • Grizzlies: 22 - 30
  • Jazz: 17 - 30
  • Kings: 19 - 26

The nuggets played a whopping 20 1-possession games, going 9-11. Cleveland played the least out of good teams, just 7 1-possession games.

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 4 days ago
🔥 Hot ▲ 5.4k r/nba

Russell Westbrook’s entire 18-year NBA career happened after LeBron had already made his first Finals. LeBron is still playing.

LeBron took Cleveland to the NBA Finals in 2007.

Russell Westbrook wasn’t drafted until 2008.

Westbrook then had enough time to play 18 seasons, win MVP, become a 9x All-Star, break the career triple-double record, play for multiple generations of NBA teams, and retire.

And LeBron is still an active NBA player heading into 2026-27.

It’s one thing to say LeBron has played forever. It’s another to realize that players drafted after he had already made a Finals run have now completed full Hall of Fame careers and retired before him.

Furthermore, Dwight Howard is already actually in the Hall of Fame, and LeBron is still playing.

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 5 days ago
▲ 17 r/nba

What if the All-Time Starting 5s by Last Name Initial played a tournament?

In this post earlier, u/z4guy made All-time starting 5s by Last Name Initial: https://np.reddit.com/r/nba/comments/1vlz3cm/best_alltime_starting_5_by_last_name_initial/

So, I decided to put the rosters together(10 players max), and ran a simulation in BBGM, 50 games, 1 home, 1 away against each since X can't field a team with everyone at the prime.

Standings

Rank Team W-L
1 W 42-8
2 B 41-9
3 J 40-10
4 D 40-10
5 G 38-12
6 M 37-13
7 R 34-16
8 P 33-17
9 C 32-18
10 T 31-19
11 E 31-19
12 L 29-21
13 H 28-22
14 A 28-22
15 S 26-24
16 O 23-27
17 N 20-30
18 I 18-32
19 F 15-35
20 V 13-37
21 K 13-37
22 Y 7-43
23 Q 4-46
24 U 2-48
25 Z 0-50

MVP + DPOY: Wilt Chamberlain: 25.3/11.6/3.4 BLK
Scoring leader: James Harden: 28.4 PPG
Assist leader: John Stockton: 12.7 APG
Blocks: Wemby: 4.1 BPG

W somehow had the best record, while a team with Kareem + Giannis went 28-22 and Shaq/Hakeem's O team went 23-27.

Then the playoffs restored order:

Semis: D 4-1 P, J 4-1 B
Finals: J 4-2 D

LeBron won Finals MVP.

23.0 PPG
5.7 RPG
5.8 APG

Yes team Z really went 0-50, poor Zubac.

Sim was ran on Basketball GM: https://play.basketball-gm.com/ by the GOAT u/dumbmatter

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 5 days ago
▲ 35 r/nba

What if the NBA used Lebron as its new metric system?

Lebron James' official height is listed at 6 Feet 9 inches or 2.06 meters tall. One way the NBA could honor his incredible career to show his impact on the court would be to completely change the way they measure the game after him- here's what it could look like:

  • Court Length: An NBA court is 94 feet long. Meaning it measures approximately 13.9 LeBrons long
  • Court Width: At 50 feet wide, a NBA court spans 7.4 LeBrons wide.
  • The 3 point Line: At its furthest point from the basket (23 feet, 9 inches), a straight line to the hoop is 3.5 LeBrons long.

Some other fun facts:

  • Wemby has an official wingspan of exactly 8 feet (2.44 meters). Which, in this metric system would equal to 1.17 LeBrons.
  • Russell Westbrook's fastest speed with the ball is a record of 21.6mph which translates into an impressive 4.69 Lebrons per second
  • The shortest active player in the NBA is Yuki Kawamura, who is officially listed at 5 feet 7 inches tall or 0.83 Lebrons

Personally I think it would be a great way to honor the king- allowing his intangibles to be eternally measured for the rest of time.

u/StrategyTop7612 — 6 days ago
▲ 280 r/baseball

On July 5th, the Mariners had a 87.5% chance of making the playoffs and were 3rd in the AL. Since then, they're 9-20(2nd worst in the league) and are down to a 27% chance of making the playoffs.

u/StrategyTop7612 — 7 days ago
▲ 2.8k r/nba

[Adams] The remaining “old guard” list is: LeBron James Kevin Durant Steph Curry James Harden Demar DeRozan Paul George Jimmy Butler Kyrie Irving Kawhi Leonard Draymond Green Damian Lillard Klay Thompson Past members: Chris Paul Russell Westbrook By 2028-29 This list will lose a lot more names

The remaining “old guard” list is:

LeBron James
Kevin Durant
Steph Curry
James Harden
Demar DeRozan
Paul George
Jimmy Butler
Kyrie Irving
Kawhi Leonard
Draymond Green
Damian Lillard
Klay Thompson

Past members:

Chris Paul
Russell Westbrook

By 2028-29 This list will lose a lot more names...

Source: https://bsky.app/profile/dartadams.bsky.social/post/3msvyegexk223

u/StrategyTop7612 — 8 days ago
▲ 242 r/nba

If you could alter one NBA game, what game would it be and what would a butterfly effect be?

For me, Chris Paul never has the hamstring injury in 2018, Rockets beat Golden State then the Cavs in the Finals, world peace is achieved. Harden and CP3‘s legacy skyrockets

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 9 days ago
▲ 81 r/nba

The 2015-16 GSW lost as many playoff games as they did regular season games (9).

they went 73-9 in the regular season and 15-9 in the playoffs.

R1 - Beat Harden Rockets 4-1

WCSF- Beat Portland 4-1

WCF - Beat OKC 4-3(coming back from down 3-1)

Finals - Lost to Cleveland 4-3

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 9 days ago
▲ 414 r/nba

Does Kyrie Irving play worse closer to the edge of the Earth?

I looked at Kyrie's entire NBA career and compared his 67 road games in five of the NBA's northernmost cities, Portland, Minneapolis, Toronto, Milwaukee and Boston, with his other 326 road games.

Credit for the idea: https://np.reddit.com/r/nba/comments/6q5fgb/oc_does_kyrie_irving_play_worse_closer_to_the/

Northern Kyrie averages:

22.6 PTS / 3.6 REB / 4.85 AST

Everywhere else on the road:

24.1 PTS / 3.9 REB / 5.55 AST

The difference in assists is statistically significant (p = .018). Even after controlling for season and minutes played, playing in the northern group is associated with about 0.67 fewer assists per game (p = .017).

Kyrie’s career stats in northern NBA cities:
at POR: 22.6/3.0/3.9, 30.0% win rate
at MIN: 21.4/3.7/5.2, 77.8%
at TOR: 20.8/3.6/5.1, 50.0%
at MIL: 25.2/4.0/5.4, 52.9%
at BOS: 22.5/3.5/4.4, 46.2%

Total: 22.6/3.6/4.85 with a 50.7% win rate.

Most importantly, his turnovers are almost literally identical: 2.57 per game in both groups.

So Kyrie isn't losing control of the basketball as he approaches the North Pole.

He's just significantly less willing to give it to somebody else, perhaps to appease the gods.

tl;dr: The closer Kyrie gets to the North Pole, the less he passes.

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 10 days ago
▲ 354 r/nba

In the beginning of the 2018-2019 season, the Timberwolves rejected the Rockets offer of 4 first round picks for Jimmy Butler. Instead, they accepted Covington, Saric, Bayless and a 2nd.

In October 2018, the Rockets offered Marquese Chriss and Brandon Knight and 4 first round picks. The wolves accepted Covington, Saric, and Bayless, and a 2nd instead.

The wolves then traded away Covington, Jordan Bell, Keita-Bates Diop, and Noah Vonleah in a 4 team trade that netted them the Hawks 2020 1st, (Aleksej Pokusevski) Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Juan Hernangomez, and Evan Turner's terrible contract.

The Wolves then turned the Hawks pick into the Knicks 1st, (Leandro Bolmaro) Jaden McDaniels, and Ricky Rubio. (They also traded away old as dirt James Johnson and a 2023 2nd, James Nnaji.

Hernangomez was traded with Jarret Culver for Patrick Beverley one year later.

Beasley, Beverley, Bolmaro and Vanderbilt were pieces in the Rudy Gobert trade 2 years later.

So basically long term, Covington netted Rubio, McDaniels, and like, 1/3rd of Gobert.

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 10 days ago
▲ 438 r/nba

Some Facts on the last time an Eastern Conference team eliminated LeBron

Steph Curry and James Harden were rookies

Karl-Anthony Towns was two years away from being able to legally drive a car

r/NBA had fewer than 800 subscribers at the time

Devin Booker was still in eighth grade

Reddit's most hated movie Avatar was still in theaters

Are you reading this on an iPhone? If you were reading it when this series happened, it would have been the iPhone 3GS, and you'd be operating on iOS 3.0

The US was still looking for Osama Bin Laden

2x Reigning MVP SGA was 11 years old

Elon Musk was broke and couch surfing

Drake hadn't released an album

It's been since May 13, 2010 that any Eastern Conference Team has dethroned LeBron James. 25 series win streak.

reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 12 days ago
▲ 57 r/nba

If every team was named like they were in a non-licensed video game.

Eastern Conference Atlantic

Team Name
Mass Shamrocks
Brooklyn Netters
Big Apple Pants
Pennsylvania Seventy-Fivers
Canada Dinosaurs

Eastern Conference Central

Team Name
Windy City Cows
Lake Erie Knights
Motor City Engines
Indiana Cars
Wisconsin Deer

Eastern Conference Southeast

Team Name
Georgia Birds
Queen City Wasps
South Beach Hots
Orlando Witches
DC Magicians

Western Conference Northwest

Team Name
Denver Miners
Twin City Dogs
Oklahoma Storm
Portland Pathfinders
Salt Lake Blues

Western Conference Pacific

Team Name
Bay Area Fighters
Hollywood Ponds
Los Angeles Ships
Phoenix Moons
Sacramento Queens

Western Conference Southwest

Team Name
Dallas Renegades
Houston Spacecraft
Memphis Bears
New Orleans Fish
San Antonio Horshoes
reddit.com
u/StrategyTop7612 — 12 days ago
▲ 28 r/nba

[OC] Bizarro NBA: What if the outcome of every game was the opposite?

For consistency, I started with 2004-05, the first season of the NBA's current 30-team era, and went through 2025-26.

Regular season Rules

This part is easy.

  • Every win becomes a loss.
  • Every loss becomes a win.
  • Teams are then ranked within their conference using their new Bizarro record.

For example, a real-life 18-64 team becomes 64-18.

Tiebreakers

Simply reversing overall records creates quite a few ties, so head-to-head results have to be reversed too.

The tiebreak order is:

  1. Reversed head-to-head record
  2. Reversed conference record
  3. Reversed division record

So if Team A went 3-1 against Team B in real life, Team B is considered to have gone 3-1 in the Bizarro universe.

Playoffs

This is where simply reversing every playoff game doesn't work very well.

If I reversed individual postseason games, the Bizarro playoffs would still contain teams that weren't actually playing each other.

Instead, I transferred the real-life playoff result based on seed to the Bizarro bracket.

For example:

If the real-life series was:

#6 defeats #3

then in the Bizarro playoffs:

Bizarro #6 defeats Bizarro #3.

If the real NBA's #1 seed beats its #8 seed, the Bizarro #1 seed also beats its #8 seed.

If the real #8 seed pulls an upset, the Bizarro #8 seed does the same.

This keeps the historical advantage of higher seeds while preserving each postseason's actual collection of upsets.

Bizarro NBA Finals Results

Season Eastern Conference Champion Seed Western Conference Champion Seed Bizarro NBA Champion
2004-05 Charlotte Hornets 2 Portland Trail Blazers 2 Portland Trail Blazers
2005-06 Atlanta Hawks 2 Houston Rockets 4 Atlanta Hawks
2006-07 Boston Celtics 1 Oklahoma City Thunder 2 Oklahoma City Thunder
2007-08 Miami Heat 1 Oklahoma City Thunder 1 Miami Heat
2008-09 Toronto Raptors 3 Sacramento Kings 1 Sacramento Kings
2009-10 Brooklyn Nets 1 Minnesota Timberwolves 1 Minnesota Timberwolves
2010-11 Toronto Raptors 2 Minnesota Timberwolves 1 Minnesota Timberwolves
2011-12 Washington Wizards 2 Sacramento Kings 2 Washington Wizards
2012-13 Orlando Magic 1 Phoenix Suns 1 Orlando Magic
2013-14 Philadelphia 76ers 2 Utah Jazz 1 Utah Jazz
2014-15 Philadelphia 76ers 2 Minnesota Timberwolves 1 Minnesota Timberwolves
2015-16 Philadelphia 76ers 1 Los Angeles Lakers 1 Philadelphia 76ers
2016-17 Philadelphia 76ers 2 Phoenix Suns 1 Phoenix Suns
2017-18 Brooklyn Nets 4 Memphis Grizzlies 2 Memphis Grizzlies
2018-19 Cleveland Cavaliers 2 Phoenix Suns 1 Cleveland Cavaliers
2019-20 Atlanta Hawks 1 Golden State Warriors 1 Golden State Warriors
2020-21 Orlando Magic 1 Houston Rockets 1 Houston Rockets
2021-22 Indiana Pacers 3 Portland Trail Blazers 3 Indiana Pacers
2022-23 Detroit Pistons 1 San Antonio Spurs 1 San Antonio Spurs
2023-24 Detroit Pistons 1 Houston Rockets 5 Detroit Pistons
2024-25 Brooklyn Nets 4 Utah Jazz 1 Utah Jazz
2025-26 Brooklyn Nets 3 Sacramento Kings 2 Brooklyn Nets

Here are the graphical results:

Playoff appearances: https://imgur.com/a/9lc9RF8

Finals appearances: https://imgur.com/a/eA8VdWO

Championships: https://imgur.com/a/7tso9Uj

u/StrategyTop7612 — 13 days ago