u/ManuteBol_Rocks

The attached chart shows what an outlier the current Sea Surface Temperatures are along the equator in the Pacific between 120W-170W. This is in the ENSO3.4 region, which is the most closely monitored area for El Niño. It’s about time for a new y-axis.

(source: NOAA via ClimateReanalyzer from the Univ of Maine)

This stat image from amateurgolf.com really illustrates the seriousness of what’s going on. It’s really impacting high-level amateur golf in what I think is a negative way.

Came across the view of the pro shop incident that includes the car approaching the clubhouse. Even wilder with this view. Seems like the driver must’ve had a medical episode.

TL;DR A huge El Niño is in progress.

The first plot is a comparison of the subsurface temperature anomalies from the same date in 1997 compared to now. The second plot compares two weeks ago to now.

The plots look down in the ocean along the equator. The east (right) side of the plot is near the South American coast. The west (left) side is in the western Pacific. The typically discussed “ENSO 3.4 region” is based on the average of sea surface temperatures from 120W westward to 170W. Keep in mind that the East-West distance on these plots is around 7000 miles.

A few things worth noting:

1. The +11C contour has finally made an appearance around 100m in depth. Those poor anchovies. While it won’t quite be +11C at the surface off of South America, you don’t have to go down very far to get to this incredibly warm water. Keep in mind that +11C is +20F.

2. We continue to see a westward movement of the warm anomalies across the ENSO 3.4 region, as evidenced by the second plot. Notice how far the +4C contour at the surface has advanced westward in the last two weeks…about 500 miles.

3. The 1997-98 Niño event was much more advanced with the subsurface cooling in the western Pacific by this point in the year. It will be interesting to see if this year catches up. Scientists will be monitoring this to see what type of La Niña event, if any, will follow this Super Niño. We are still having data dropout issues along 160E, so it’s a bit difficult to know for certain what the subsurface looks like in that part of the Pacific.

4. Still no Atlantic hurricanes so far this season. This is the latest in the satellite error to have seen no hurricanes by this point in a season. The atmosphere should be getting a bit more favorable for development in the Atlantic Basin over the next couple of weeks.

Not your typical pro shop encounter.

https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/newton-ma-car-crash-brae-burn-country-club/4017543/

That explains the rally at the end, right before options expiry. Rocketship next week!

CNBC still twiddling their thumbs and hasn’t had the news yet….

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Pretty tightly clustered around a +4.0C peak at year’s end. Buckle up.

Well, the Tar Heels are definitely going all-in on basketball in the brave, new NIL world. Going to be interesting to see how it all works out (or not).

$20 million and only three returning players. Wild to think about. No wonder pros are trying to get back to college.

Nothing like this smell from school in the olden days.