Our Newsletter is Out! Back-to-School Spending Is Breaking Records. Shoppers Still Want Deals

Our Newsletter is Out! Back-to-School Spending Is Breaking Records. Shoppers Still Want Deals

Welcome back to another edition of EcomWatch Weekly!

The World Cup is finally over, the weather is perfect for the beach, and summer is fully doing its thing.

But ecommerce is already looking ahead.

Back-to-school shopping is picking up early, retailers are preparing for what could be a record season, and shoppers are making it very clear that they are still willing to spend when the value is right.

The opportunity is there. The demand is there. But the brands that win will be the ones that understand how careful shoppers are right now.

This week

  • Back-to-school spending is expected to break records.
  • U.S. retail sales grew only 0.2% in June.
  • HMRC wants Amazon and eBay to collect VAT from UK sellers.
  • TikTok is moving deeper into the seller service layer.
  • eBay accidentally showed private offer prices.

The Big Story

Back-to-School Spending Is About to Hit Record Highs

Back-to-school shopping is expected to be huge this year.

According to the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics, shoppers are expected to spend $43.3 billion on K–12 students, up from $39.4 billion last year.

College back-to-school spending is expected to reach $103.5 billion, passing $100 billion for the first time.

That sounds great for retailers.

And it is.

But it does not mean shoppers suddenly feel rich.

Shoppers Are Starting to Shop Earlier

Retailers like Target, Walmart, and Kohl’s have already started back-to-school promotions.

According to the survey, 62% of consumers had already started back-to-school shopping by early July.

Another 54% said they bought school supplies during recent sales like Amazon Prime Day, Target Circle Deal Days, and similar events.

So back-to-school is no longer just an August rush, rather its a summer-long deal hunt.

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

Weekly Metric

U.S. Retail Sales Grew Just 0.2% in June

U.S. retail sales grew 0.2% in June compared with May. Economists had expected slightly stronger growth of 0.3%.

Retail sales were expected to grow slightly more, and some categories looked weak.

Pharmacy, grocery, and apparel declined. Furniture and home furnishings were flat. Even bars and restaurants only grew 0.1%, despite the World Cup starting in June.

The better news for online sellers is that nonstore retailers, which include ecommerce merchants, grew 1.9%.

But even that needs context.

Amazon Prime Day moved into June this year, so some of that growth may have been pulled forward by a major sales event.

In other words, ecommerce did well, but part of the bump may have come from shoppers waiting for deals.

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

Tool of the Week

ImageKit Creative Automation

ImageKit launched Creative Automation, a tool for producing on-brand ecommerce visuals at scale.

That matters right now because back-to-school requires multiple campaigns.

Parents need school supplies. College students need electronics. Dorm shoppers need storage. Retailers need banners, product images, social posts, paid ads, email graphics, and last-minute promo variations.

Doing all of that manually gets slow very fast.

ImageKit’s tool uses reusable templates so teams can create campaign visuals, catalog images, ecommerce promotions, and performance marketing variations without rebuilding every asset from scratch.

If your back-to-school campaign needs ten versions of the same offer for ten channels, creative automation is how you avoid spending the whole season resizing banners.

Winning SKU of the Week

Gamified Learning

Exploding Topics lists Gamified Learning at 2.4K search volume with +454% growth.

Gamified learning represents educational products that use game mechanics to make learning more engaging.

It consists of points, badges, levels, streaks, leaderboards, rewards, challenges, and progress tracking.

It’s basically homework, but with fewer signs of emotional collapse.

Why Sellers Should Pay Attention to It

Gamified learning works because it speaks to three buyers at once.

  • Parents want better learning outcomes.
  • Teachers want more engagement.
  • Students want something that does not feel like staring at a worksheet until time stops.

That makes the category easy to explain and easy to market during back-to-school.

Back-to-school shoppers are already spending. Gamified learning gives sellers a way to connect education, entertainment, and parent guilt in one very marketable package.

Boring But Important

The Watchlist

Honorable Mention

Built

Built is a direct-to-consumer footwear brand selling shoes online.

Shoes are one of the big categories families spend on every year, and brands that can make the purchase feel practical, stylish, and reasonably priced have a real window.

Built recently raised $2 million, which shows there is still investor interest in D2C brands that can own a specific everyday category.

When shoppers are watching every dollar, footwear brands need to make the value obvious: comfort, durability, price, delivery, and returns.

That’s all for this week.

I’m going to go pretend I’m not already seeing back-to-school displays in stores while it still feels like a full beach season outside. Nothing says “enjoy summer” like a wall of notebooks reminding everyone that September is getting closer and all the warmth will go away with it.

Anyway, shoppers are spending, but they’re being careful. Make the value clear, don’t make checkout annoying, and please don’t make people decode a fake discount.

Enjoy the sun while it lasts, and we’ll be back next Monday.

u/EcomWatch — 4 days ago

Tool of the Week: Text

Text is an AI customer service and sales platform that now has a Shopify app and WhatsApp Business integration.

That makes it useful for ecommerce sellers who are tired of jumping between live chat, email, helpdesk tickets, and customer messages from different channels.

The platform brings tools like LiveChat, ChatBot, Inbox, and HelpDesk into one dashboard, with AI agents that can help answer customer questions and route support conversations.

A human does not need to manually answer every version of that question forever. A chatbot can do that instead.

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 9 days ago
▲ 3 r/EcommerceCircle+2 crossposts

Our Weekly Newsletter is Live!

Welcome back to another edition of EcomWatch Weekly!

Italy is still hot enough to make opening a laptop feel like an act of personal bravery, so I will keep this short.

Unfortunately, ecommerce regulations did not get the memo about summer. Therefore, you have more things to pay attention to this week.

While everyone else is supposed to be sitting near an AC and pretending work can wait until September, regulators, platforms, and marketplaces have remained very busy finding new ways to complicate life for ecommerce businesses.

So yes, another normal week online.

This week

  • Levi’s sold more with fewer discounts.
  • 88% of Nigerians use AI to shop, even though a lot of them got scammed.
  • Italy is making shrinkflation harder to hide.
  • US customs now want digital safety certificates.
  • Shein and Temu are pulling back on European ads.

The Big Story

Levi’s Grew Ecommerce While Running Fewer Promotions

Levi’s, the American denim brand best known for its jeans, grew ecommerce by 19% while running fewer promotions.

The company did not grow online sales by throwing bigger discounts at shoppers or turning every week into another sale event. It grew while pulling back on promotions, which is the part many ecommerce brands should be paying attention to.

A lot of brands say they want to rely less on discounts.

Then sales slow down, and the coupon codes come back.

Levi’s is showing a different version of ecommerce growth. One built around

  • stronger brand demand,
  • better full-price selling,
  • and less dependence on constant markdowns.

The problem with the discounts starts when promotions become the only reason the customer converts.

At that point, the brand is not building demand, but borrowing it from the next sale.

Discounts can support a strategy, but they cannot replace one. If your ecommerce growth only works when prices drop, you are not growing cleanly. You are renting revenue from your own margin.

>

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

Weekly Metric

88% of Nigerians Use AI to Shop

88% is the share of Nigerian consumers reportedly using AI to shop.

Another 72% use AI to compare products across brands and retailers.

That means AI shopping in Nigeria is already a normal behavior. But there is a problem.

More than half of Nigerian consumers said they were scammed in the past year. Among those who were scammed, 57% said it happened through social media.

Nigeria is a very social-first ecommerce market. Over 82% of consumers have bought directly through social media, and 78% discover new brands there.

So shoppers are using AI and social platforms to buy faster, but fraud is growing in the same places.

The surprising part is that trust in digital payments is still high. Over 96% of Nigerians surveyed said they trust digital payments in some way.

That tells us that people may not trust every seller, but they still trust the payment system enough to keep buying.

What sellers should take from this: AI shopping is about being trusted. If shoppers find you through AI or social media, your store needs clear product information, real contact details, visible policies, secure checkout, and enough proof that you are not another fake storefront.

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

Tool of the Week

Text

Text is an AI customer service and sales platform that now has a Shopify app and WhatsApp Business integration.

That makes it useful for ecommerce sellers who are tired of jumping between live chat, email, helpdesk tickets, and customer messages from different channels.

The platform brings tools like LiveChat, ChatBot, Inbox, and HelpDesk into one dashboard, with AI agents that can help answer customer questions and route support conversations.

A human does not need to manually answer every version of that question forever. A chatbot can do that instead.

Winning SKU of the Week

20K Power Bank

This week’s winning SKU is the 20K power bank.

Exploding Topics lists the product at 1.9K search volume with +104% growth, and the timing makes sense. It is hot outside, people are traveling, festivals are happening, flights are delayed, phones are dying, and nobody wants to be the person sitting on the airport floor guarding the only outlet.

A 20K power bank has a 20,000 mAh capacity, which usually means it can recharge phones, tablets, and other devices multiple times before needing to be recharged itself.

>

This is a practical SKU with a clear problem. It also has good ecommerce angles:

  • useful for travel and summer content
  • easy to bundle with cables, adapters, and cases
  • strong gift potential
  • works for tech, travel, outdoor, and student audiences
  • simple problem-solution positioning
  • easy to compare by capacity, charging speed, ports, and size

Boring But Important

The Watchlist

Weird Commerce Corner

A Japanese Mask Brand Posted a Valentine’s Day Ad on the Wrong Date in China

A Japanese mask brand posted a romantic Valentine’s Day-style ad in China.

The issue is that it went live on July 7., apparently treating “7/7” like Qixi, but Qixi follows the lunar calendar. In 2026, that made the timing especially bad because July 7 is also the anniversary of the Marco Polo Bridge Incident, one of the most sensitive Japan-China historical dates.

In China, that date already carries its own cultural meaning, so the campaign landed less like a cute romance push and more like a brand that did not check the calendar.

Because this is exactly where cross-border ecommerce gets messy. Localization is not just translating the caption and hoping for the best. It is understanding dates, holidays, symbols, cultural references, and what your campaign accidentally says when it enters another market.

A good product and a decent creative idea can still fall apart if the timing makes the brand look careless.

Honorable Mention

Lantern

Lantern is an ecommerce startup helping brands understand how their products appear in AI search and shopping recommendations.

That matters because shoppers are starting to ask tools like ChatGPT and Gemini what to buy instead of scrolling through Google results.

If AI does not mention your product, you may never even make it into the customer’s consideration set.

AI shopping will create a new visibility problem. Lantern is interesting because it is building for it before most brands have figured out they have the problem.

That’s all for this week.

Discounts can move revenue, but they can also train customers to wait. AI can help people shop, but it can also speed up bad decisions.

The brands that become sucessful from here will probably not be the ones shouting the loudest or discounting the hardest. They will be the ones that know their margins, clean up their operations, earn trust, and stop treating every boring part of the business like it can wait.

Forward this to someone who still thinks another discount code will fix everything, stay cool out there, and we’ll be back next Monday!

u/EcomWatch — 10 days ago
▲ 3 r/EcommerceCircle+2 crossposts

Why Isn’t Your $100+ Product Converting Cold Traffic?

A founder shared a problem many small ecommerce brands face.

Their ads looked amazing:
- 10%+ CTR
- Under $1 CPC
- Plenty of email signups

But almost no sales from cold traffic.

The discussion revealed one big reason: people don’t trust an unknown brand enough to spend $100+ after seeing just one ad.

Warm channels convert because buyers already trust the platform introducing your brand. Cold traffic doesn’t have that advantage.

A few takeaways from the thread:

  1. Measure email signups, not just first-click purchases.
  2. Build longer email nurture sequences before asking for the sale.
  3. Put reviews, YouTube videos, and third-party mentions where buyers actually see them.
  4. Personally ask happy customers for reviews while they’re excited, not days later through an automated email.

For considered purchases, the first click usually starts the relationship. It rarely ends with a checkout.
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Read more ecommerce stories like this on: https://ecomwatch.com

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 14 days ago
▲ 3 r/EcommerceCircle+1 crossposts

“Why are online prices going up?”

Because sellers are getting squeezed by everyone and then blamed for the final price.

Google now charges more for the click. Payment processors take their cut.

Customers abuse refunds and chargebacks, but sellers are still supposed to treat every claim like it came from a saint.

And JUST NOW, USPS is about to charge $50 for a shipping mistake many sellers may not even know exists.

We know that the customer usually sees only the final price.

They usually do not see the ad cost, chargeback fee, return label, platform penalty, shipping adjustment, payment fee, or support time behind it.

We covered the full margin squeeze in this week’s EcomWatch Weekly:

https://ecomwatchnews.substack.com/p/google-ads-got-pricier-fraud-got

If you can't keep up with all the new fees, regulations, and possible tools that came help carry your business, subscribe to our Substack to stay updated!

What cost has gotten the most ridiculous for you lately?

u/EcomWatch — 17 days ago

Ecommerce Fraud Now Costs Retailers $5 For Every $1 Stolen

Fraud is no longer just the cost of one stolen order. It is the cost of everything that happens after it.

According to the 2026 LexisNexis True Cost of Fraud Study for Retail and Ecommerce in North America, retail and ecommerce companies are now paying more than $5 in total costs for every $1 they lose directly to fraud.

In the U.S., the figure is about $5.13. In Canada, it is about $5.23.

>

More than half of U.S. merchants in the study reported increased customer churn linked to anti-fraud measures. Some shoppers are leaving because security checks are making the buying process feel too slow, too suspicious, or too annoying.

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

u/EcomWatch — 20 days ago
▲ 12 r/EcommerceCircle+1 crossposts

China Is Rewriting Its Ecommerce Law With Countermeasures Against the EU and US. What Does This Actually Mean for Global Sellers?

China released draft amendments to its ecommerce law last weekend, open for public consultation until August 4th. Twenty new provisions, jointly issued by two major regulatory bodies.

The domestic side extends the law's reach from platform operators to the entire platform economy, including AI shopping agents, logistics providers, payment processors, and data infrastructure. It also moves China from episodic, high-profile enforcement toward routine ongoing oversight, similar to what the EU has been running under the Digital Services Act.

The context is Beijing's anti-involution campaign targeting the destructive price wars between Alibaba, JD.com, Pinduoduo, and Meituan.

The more interesting part for global ecommerce is the countermeasures clause. The draft gives Beijing formal legal tools to take protective or retaliatory action when Chinese platforms face what the government considers discriminatory regulatory treatment abroad.

The targets are obviously the EU's €200 million DSA fine against Temu, the abolition of the €150 de minimis exemption, and the US ending the $800 de minimis threshold for Chinese imports.

The central contradiction is that domestically the law disciplines platforms for getting too powerful, while internationally it protects those same platforms from foreign governments applying the same logic. China wants the right to regulate its own companies. It doesn't want the US or EU to have equivalent rights over Chinese companies operating in their markets.

Do you think the countermeasures clause will lead to actual retaliation against EU or US regulatory actions, or is it primarily a signalling mechanism?

------------------------------------

Want more ecommerce news like this? Subscribe to our weekly newsletter at https://ecomwatchnews.substack.com/ where we cover everything you need to stay ahead in the ecommerce space.

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 20 days ago
▲ 4 r/EcommerceCircle+1 crossposts

SKU of the Week: Soursop Bitters

According to Exploding Topics, the search term currently has 165K monthly search volume and is up 324%. The topic is also marked as exploding, which is usually the part where ecommerce sellers either start researching suppliers or pretend they “saw this coming.”

Soursop bitters are herbal supplements made from soursop fruit and other natural ingredients. They are usually positioned around digestive health, detox, antioxidants, immune support, and general wellness.

Why is it growing?

This sits right in the messy but very active overlap between wellness, natural remedies, gut health, and TikTok-friendly supplement culture.

It is also the kind of product people do not always discover because they woke up and calmly decided to compare herbal bitters.

They usually discover it through:

  • a wellness video
  • a detox routine
  • a gut health recommendation
  • a friend who is suddenly very into “natural remedies”
  • a creator holding a bottle and saying something vague but confident

Why should sellers care?

Soursop bitters has a few ecommerce-friendly traits.

It is small, repeat-purchase friendly, easy to bundle, and fits into a larger wellness routine. It can also sit next to related products like herbal teas, digestive supplements, wellness kits, detox bundles, and natural health products.

But it is also a category where sellers need to be careful.

Health claims can get messy fast.

A product like this should not be marketed like it cures anything, fixes everything, or replaces medical advice. That may work for a sketchy TikTok comment section, but it is not a great long-term ecommerce strategy.

Keep up with the latest SKUs on our newsletter: https://ecomwatchnews.substack.com/

u/EcomWatch — 21 days ago

Tool of the Week: Dreamina

AI product image tools are getting more useful for sellers who need lifestyle visuals but do not have the time, budget, or physical space to run proper photoshoots every week.

One tool that came up in our research was Dreamina.

The basic use case is that sellers can take a plain product image and test it in more realistic settings. A desk. A bathroom counter. A kitchen shelf. Something that gives the product a little more context than a white background floating in the void.

That can be useful for social posts, ads, email graphics, blog images, landing pages, and creative testing.

But there is a catch.

Product images are sales assets.

If the AI changes the label, color, shape, texture, size, packaging, or product details, the image can become misleading very quickly.

That is why this kind of tool makes more sense for lifestyle creative than for main listing images.

A seller testing ad angles for a candle, supplement bottle, skincare product, mug, notebook, or pet product might get value from quickly seeing the product in different environments. But if the generated image changes the actual product, the seller has a problem.

https://preview.redd.it/ydptya2i73bh1.png?width=1903&format=png&auto=webp&s=cf51324562fff5e2284afe7f0d4f2ba5e2e72679

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 21 days ago
▲ 7 r/klarna

Merchants Are Warning Each Other About Klarna. The Conversion Boost Looks Great, But What Comes After?

A Shopify Reddit thread titled *“Klarna Customers are the Worst”* is getting a lot of attention from merchants who say the same thing keeps happening.

At first, the numbers look great.

One store reported a **30% increase in conversions** after enabling Klarna.

Then things changed.

That same merchant says they later lost **two Shopify Payments accounts** due to chargebacks and disputes linked to BNPL orders.

“Never activate Klarna on Shopify payments,” they wrote. “It brings in low quality customers and a flood of chargebacks.”

Other merchants in the thread share similar experiences:
sudden spike in orders after turning on BNPL, followed by more returns and disputes than usual, followed by payment processing issues.

One seller said Klarna was turned off after **just one week and three complaints**. Another said fraud and disputes only appeared on Klarna orders, not other payment methods.

The issue many are pointing to is timing. In several cases, customers would mark items as returned in Klarna before merchants even received the product back, triggering disputes almost immediately.

Still, not everyone has the same experience.
Some merchants report no issues at all, especially in higher-ticket or considered-purchase categories. Others say Klarna simply changes who buys, shifting traffic toward lower-value, impulse-driven customers who are more likely to dispute orders.

One comment summed it up clearly: “The conversion boost is real. The customer quality is what changes.”

The takeaway is not that BNPL is good or bad. It is that the upside and downside often show up at different times.

The conversion lift comes first. The cost comes later
If you want more real merchant discussions like this, check the latest posts on ecomwatch.com.

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 22 days ago

Merchants Are Warning Each Other About Klarna. The Conversion Boost Looks Great, But What Comes After?

A Shopify Reddit thread titled “Klarna Customers are the Worst” is getting a lot of attention from merchants who say the same thing keeps happening.

At first, the numbers look great.

One store reported a 30% increase in conversions after enabling Klarna.

Then things changed.

That same merchant says they later lost two Shopify Payments accounts due to chargebacks and disputes linked to BNPL orders.

“Never activate Klarna on Shopify payments,” they wrote. “It brings in low quality customers and a flood of chargebacks.”

Other merchants in the thread share similar experiences:
sudden spike in orders after turning on BNPL, followed by more returns and disputes than usual, followed by payment processing issues.

One seller said Klarna was turned off after just one week and three complaints. Another said fraud and disputes only appeared on Klarna orders, not other payment methods.

The issue many are pointing to is timing. In several cases, customers would mark items as returned in Klarna before merchants even received the product back, triggering disputes almost immediately.

Still, not everyone has the same experience.
Some merchants report no issues at all, especially in higher-ticket or considered-purchase categories. Others say Klarna simply changes who buys, shifting traffic toward lower-value, impulse-driven customers who are more likely to dispute orders.

One comment summed it up clearly: “The conversion boost is real. The customer quality is what changes.”

The takeaway is not that BNPL is good or bad. It is that the upside and downside often show up at different times.

The conversion lift comes first. The cost comes later
If you want more real merchant discussions like this, check the latest posts on ecomwatch.com.

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 22 days ago
▲ 94 r/Tariffs

France Tried to Tax Temu. Temu Just Went Around France.

France introduced a €2 fee on low-value parcels from platforms like Temu and Shein, expecting to raise around €400 million a year.

After four months?

It raised just €2.3 million per month.

Because around **90% of the targeted parcels were simply rerouted through other EU countries** before entering France. Instead of landing in French customs, many shipments entered through places like Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands.

Now France has scrapped the national fee as the EU introduces its own €3 duty across member states.

The big question is whether Europe’s new system will be any harder to avoid, or if platforms will simply adapt again.

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 23 days ago
▲ 7 r/EcommerceCircle+4 crossposts

France Tried to Tax Temu. Temu Just Went Around France.

France introduced a €2 fee on low-value parcels from platforms like Temu and Shein, expecting to raise around €400 million a year.

After four months?

It raised just €2.3 million per month.

Because around 90% of the targeted parcels were simply rerouted through other EU countries before entering France. Instead of landing in French customs, many shipments entered through places like Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands.

Now France has scrapped the national fee as the EU introduces its own €3 duty across member states.

The big question is whether Europe’s new system will be any harder to avoid, or if platforms will simply adapt again.

Read more ecommerce stories like this in our free newsletter: https://ecomwatch.com/

u/EcomWatch — 14 days ago
▲ 161 r/TheCollegeInvestor+25 crossposts

Trump Threatens 100% Tariffs on Countries That Tax American Tech Companies. Will It Actually Work This Time?

Just as US-EU trade tensions seemed to be cooling, a new flashpoint has arrived.

Trump has threatened a 100% tariff on any country imposing a digital services tax on American companies, and made clear it would supersede any existing trade agreements. This comes less than two weeks after the EU approved a deal designed to cut tariffs on US goods.

The tactic has worked before. Canada repealed its 3% digital services tax after a similar ultimatum to keep trade negotiations alive.

But the EU is a different beast. France already has a DST in place and has previously said it won't bow to US pressure. Germany and Belgium are planning their own versions. The core disagreement, whether large American tech companies pay enough tax on European revenue, has been running for years with no resolution in sight.

For ecommerce sellers operating across borders, this isn't abstract. A 100% tariff on goods from major EU trading partners means higher sourcing costs, more expensive imports, and consumers on both sides paying more for everything.

A few things worth discussing:

Do you think EU countries will back down the way Canada did, or is this a different situation entirely? If these tariffs do go into effect, which product categories do you think get hit hardest?

Want more ecommerce news like this? Subscribe to our weekly newsletter at https://ecomwatchnews.substack.com/ where we cover everything you need to stay ahead in the ecommerce space.

u/EcomWatch — 3 hours ago
▲ 3 r/EcommerceCircle+1 crossposts

World Cup Price Tags, AI Bugs, and Vinted’s Investigation

Welcome back to another edition of EcomWatch Weekly!

Aside from watching my mother country play in the FIFA World Cup and acting like I personally contributed to every good pass, I also spent way too much time scrolling through Reddit, merchant forums, and ecommerce complaints this week.

Very healthy behavior.

But useful, because sellers were not exactly having a peaceful week.

Let’s get into it.

This week

  • World Cup 2026 is turning into a very expensive ecommerce opportunity.
  • A merchant let AI touch their ecommerce database, and it went about as well as you think.
  • Vinted’s bizarre €30,000 toy listings triggered a criminal investigation in France.
  • Retailers are now losing $5 for every $1 stolen to ecommerce fraud.
  • Home Depot is selling customer data to brands that do not even sell at Home Depot.

The Big Story: The Commercial Costs Behind Football’s Biggest Event

World Cup 2026 is a massive ecommerce event with football attached.

The tournament runs from June 11 to July 19 across the United States, Mexico, and Canada, with 48 teams playing across 16 host cities. More than 6.5 million visitors are expected across those host cities, and billions more will be watching globally.

People will buy jerseys, flags, snacks, party supplies, TVs, travel gear, drinkware, collectibles, country-themed products, decorations, and basically anything that makes watching the match feel like an event instead of just sitting on the couch yelling at the referee.

The opportunity is huge.

World Cup-related merchandise revenue is projected to reach $4.1 billion globally, while the tournament is expected to generate $1.47 billion in economic activity for U.S. wholesale and retail alone.

But this is where ecommerce sellers need to pay attention.

The World Cup does not just create demand.

It makes attention more expensive.

Internet Retailing projects a $10.5 billion surge in global ad spend during the event, with retailers expected to capture a major share through programmatic and AI-driven placements. That means brands will not just be competing with other ecommerce sellers. They will be competing with everyone trying to buy attention while the world is watching.

Then there is the official sponsorship and licensing side.

FIFA’s licensing-rights sales totaled $769 million during the 2022 World Cup cycle, up 28% from the previous edition. That gives you a pretty clear idea of how expensive the official commercial layer around the tournament has become.

For smaller sellers, that matters because most cannot afford to play the official sponsorship game.

They need to play the smarter game.

That means building around fan behavior instead of protected branding.

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

Weekly Metric: Ecommerce Fraud Now Costs Retailers $5 For Every $1 Stolen

Fraud is no longer just the cost of one stolen order. It is the cost of everything that happens after it.

According to the 2026 LexisNexis True Cost of Fraud Study for Retail and Ecommerce in North America, retail and ecommerce companies are now paying more than $5 in total costs for every $1 they lose directly to fraud.

In the U.S., the figure is about $5.13. In Canada, it is about $5.23.

>

More than half of U.S. merchants in the study reported increased customer churn linked to anti-fraud measures. Some shoppers are leaving because security checks are making the buying process feel too slow, too suspicious, or too annoying.

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

Tool of the Week: Dreamina

AI product image tools are getting more useful for sellers who need lifestyle visuals but do not have the time, budget, or physical space to run proper photoshoots every week.

One tool that came up in our research was Dreamina.

The basic use case is that sellers can take a plain product image and test it in more realistic settings. A desk. A bathroom counter. A kitchen shelf. Something that gives the product a little more context than a white background floating in the void.

That can be useful for social posts, ads, email graphics, blog images, landing pages, and creative testing.

But there is a catch.

Product images are sales assets.

If the AI changes the label, color, shape, texture, size, packaging, or product details, the image can become misleading very quickly.

That is why this kind of tool makes more sense for lifestyle creative than for main listing images.

A seller testing ad angles for a candle, supplement bottle, skincare product, mug, notebook, or pet product might get value from quickly seeing the product in different environments. But if the generated image changes the actual product, the seller has a problem.

SKU of the Week: Soursop Bitters

According to Exploding Topics, the search term currently has 165K monthly search volume and is up 324%. The topic is also marked as exploding, which is usually the part where ecommerce sellers either start researching suppliers or pretend they “saw this coming.”

Soursop bitters are herbal supplements made from soursop fruit and other natural ingredients. They are usually positioned around digestive health, detox, antioxidants, immune support, and general wellness.

Why is it growing?

This sits right in the messy but very active overlap between wellness, natural remedies, gut health, and TikTok-friendly supplement culture.

It is also the kind of product people do not always discover because they woke up and calmly decided to compare herbal bitters.

They usually discover it through:

  • a wellness video
  • a detox routine
  • a gut health recommendation
  • a friend who is suddenly very into “natural remedies”
  • a creator holding a bottle and saying something vague but confident

Why should sellers care?

Soursop bitters has a few ecommerce-friendly traits.

It is small, repeat-purchase friendly, easy to bundle, and fits into a larger wellness routine. It can also sit next to related products like herbal teas, digestive supplements, wellness kits, detox bundles, and natural health products.

But it is also a category where sellers need to be careful.

Health claims can get messy fast.

A product like this should not be marketed like it cures anything, fixes everything, or replaces medical advice. That may work for a sketchy TikTok comment section, but it is not a great long-term ecommerce strategy.

Boring But Important

The Watchlist

Weird Commerce Corner: Vinted’s €30,000 Toy Listings Sparked a Criminal Investigation in France

This is one of those stories that sounds fake until it gets worse.

France opened a criminal investigation after social media users flagged suspicious listings on Vinted, the secondhand marketplace.

The listings reportedly included ordinary-looking toys listed for bizarre prices, sometimes above €30,000, along with descriptions that referenced children’s ages, heights, clothing sizes, and other unsettling details.

The story spread quickly on TikTok and other platforms.

Then France’s High Commissioner for Childhood filed an official report. Then the Nanterre prosecutor confirmed that a preliminary investigation was open.

So yes.

A secondhand marketplace toy listing became a criminal investigation.

Read the full story on ecomwatch.com

System Failure of the Week: Someone Let AI Touch Their Ecommerce Database Without Telling the Dev Team. It Did Not Go Well.

AI can write product descriptions, it can help with customer support, sumamrize reviews, and more.

What AI probably should not do without supervision is touch a live ecommerce database while the dev team is unaware.

That is basically the lesson here.

A merchant reportedly let AI interact with their ecommerce database, and the situation went sideways. The details are a good reminder that AI tools are only as safe as the permissions they are given.

The problem is not that AI is useless.

The problem is that people keep treating it like a magic employee instead of software that needs boundaries.

Before giving any AI tool access to business systems, merchants should ask:

  • What can it read?
  • What can it change?
  • Can it delete anything?
  • Is there an approval step?
  • Are logs being kept?
  • Can changes be rolled back?
  • Does the dev team know?

AI is useful when it helps people move faster.

It is dangerous when it quietly becomes the person with admin access.

Honorable Mention: Phia

Phia is a fashion-meets-AI shopping startup co-founded by Phoebe Gates and Sophia Kianni.

The company recently raised a $35.5 million Series A, bringing its total funding to $43.5 million.

It helps shoppers find better deals, compare options, and discover secondhand alternatives without manually opening 17 tabs and pretending that is “research.”

That matters because online shopping is getting messier and messier daily.

There are too many marketplaces, too many prices, too many dupes, too many resale listings, and too many brands fighting for the same shopper. For fashion especially, discovery is still broken in a very specific way.

People do not always know exactly what they want.

They know the vibe, the budget, and they know that they saw something similar on TikTok three weeks ago, and now their brain has made it a personal mission.

For merchants, tools like Phia point to a bigger shift. Product discovery may become less dependent on shoppers searching manually and more dependent on AI systems deciding what is relevant enough to show.

That means brands may eventually need to think about:

  • whether their product data is clean enough
  • whether their pricing is competitive enough
  • whether their brand shows up in AI-assisted shopping journeys
  • whether their products can be understood by recommendation systems

If shoppers start asking AI where to buy something instead of searching manually, then the brands that win may not be the loudest.

They may be the ones whose products are easiest for AI to understand, compare, and recommend.

That’s all for this week.

A lot of ecommerce stories this week came down to the same problem: of systems getting more powerful, but also easier to mess up.

AI can help sellers move faster, but it can also break things faster. Marketplaces can scale listings, but they can also scale weirdness. Retailers can turn data into money, but customers may not love finding out they were part of the product. Big events like the World Cup can create demand, but they also raise the price of attention.

The boring lesson is still the most useful one.

Forward this to someone who thinks “just let AI handle it” is a business strategy, and we’ll be back next Monday.

Stay updated with ecommerce news, dramas and trends by subscribing to our newsletter https://substack.com/@ecomwatchweekly

u/EcomWatch — 25 days ago
▲ 11 r/EcommerceCircle+5 crossposts

Is Ecommerce Slowing Down, or Are We Watching the Middle Class Stop Spending?

I came across a Reddit thread where a merchant asked a simple question:

“Is anyone else seeing sales slow down?”

What followed was 50+ replies from ecommerce founders sharing what they’re seeing in real time.

The answers were surprisingly divided.

Some businesses are having their best year ever. Others are wondering how they’ll make payroll.

A few examples:

A luxury limo company serving wealthy clients said revenue is up over 60% compared to last year.

A finance business targeting high-net-worth customers reported its best year in eight years.

Meanwhile, apparel sellers described sales as “tanking.”
Health and wellness brands said demand has softened across multiple channels.

One merchant nearly doubled their product catalog but is generating only half the sales they had a year ago.

The most interesting pattern wasn’t that sales are down.
It was who is still spending.

Many merchants pointed out that customers haven’t completely disappeared.

They’re just taking much longer to buy.

At the same time, businesses with referral-driven growth, loyal repeat customers, or affluent audiences seem to be holding up much better than brands relying heavily on paid acquisition.

It almost feels like there are two completely different ecommerce economies operating at the same time.

Another point that came up repeatedly was traffic.

Several merchants argued that brands with strong SEO are weathering the slowdown better because they aren’t as dependent on increasingly expensive paid ads.

Others pushed back and said this happens every summer, and that Reddit naturally attracts merchants looking for answers when business is slow.

That’s probably true too.

But the number of similar conversations popping up lately makes me wonder whether something larger is happening.

So I’m curious… Are your ecommerce sales up or down compared to this time last year?

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 26 days ago
▲ 15 r/EcommerceCircle+2 crossposts

Child Trafficking Fears Sparked a Criminal Investigation. Did Vinted Fail Its Users?

This is one of those stories where the internet moves faster than the platform, and the consequences are now legal.

French prosecutors have opened a preliminary criminal investigation after viral Vinted listings showed toys and children’s items priced at up to €30,000, along with descriptions that allegedly included personal details such as ages, heights, and clothing sizes.

To be clear:

  1. This is an ongoing investigation, not a conviction.
  2. Vinted says it found no evidence of child trafficking.
  3. Some listings may have been fake or misinterpreted content circulating online.

But the damage in public perception is already done.

Because this all started the way most platform controversies now start. And that raises the uncomfortable question.

How did listings that triggered child trafficking fears stay visible long enough to go viral in the first place?

Even if nothing illegal is ultimately proven, the trust issue remains.

Millions of listings go live daily, and even with automated moderation, edge cases will slip through.

It is whether platforms can respond fast enough before social media becomes the de facto moderation layer.
Because once TikTok becomes the first responder, the platform is already on the defensive.

What do you think? Did Vinted handle this appropriately, given what is known so far?

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 27 days ago
▲ 5 r/EcommerceCircle+4 crossposts

Is World Cup 2026 the biggest ecommerce opportunity or the biggest operational risk for brands?

Every four years, the World Cup becomes one of the biggest global attention spikes in sports.

But for ecommerce brands, it is not just a sporting event. It is a short-term demand surge that can impact almost every category.

The 2026 World Cup, hosted across the US, Mexico, and Canada, is expected to bring:

- 6.5M+ visitors across host cities
- Billions of global viewers
- Weeks of continuous global attention

And naturally, brands are already preparing for the upside.

Because the opportunity is real:

- Impulse purchases increase during match-driven excitement
- Price sensitivity drops when people want products quickly before games
- Demand expands beyond sports into TVs, apparel, food, and party supplies
- Search interest for World Cup related products can spike massively during the tournament
- Brands can tap into emotional moments like anticipation, celebration, and national pride

It is one of the few ecommerce periods where attention stays elevated for weeks instead of hours.

But the part that often gets overlooked is the cost side.
Because when demand rises, so does everything else:

- Advertising costs increase as competition intensifies
- Sponsorships and licensing become more expensive and harder to secure
- Logistics and shipping slow down due to congestion and high demand
- Temporary staffing costs rise across fulfillment and support teams
- Inventory risk increases due to unpredictable, match-driven demand swings

The reality is that the World Cup creates a split outcome.
It can significantly increase revenue, but only if operations can handle the volatility behind it.

So while many brands focus on the upside, the real advantage often goes to those who prepare for both sides of the equation.

What do you think?

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 28 days ago
▲ 2 r/EcommerceCircle+3 crossposts

What’s the best AI tool for turning product photos into lifestyle images?

I’m seeing more ecommerce brands use AI to transform simple product photos into lifestyle shots for ads, social media, emails, and landing pages.

The appeal is obvious. Instead of organizing an expensive photoshoot every time you need new creative, you can upload a clean product image and generate multiple realistic scenes in minutes.

Some of the tools that seem to come up the most are:
- ChatGPT Image Tools
- Photoroom
- Pebblely
- Dreamina
- Canva
- Google Product Studio
- Shopify Magic
- Amazon Ads Image Generator

That said, I’ve noticed the biggest challenge isn’t generating a beautiful image, but keeping the product accurate.

Some tools slightly change:
- Labels or text
- Colors
- Packaging
- Logos
- Product proportions

That might not matter for social content, but it can become a problem if customers receive something that doesn’t quite match what they saw.

It also seems like AI images work best as secondary marketing assets, while real product photography is still the safer choice for primary product listings.

I’m curious what everyone’s experience has been.

Which AI image generator has given you the most realistic results? Have you found one that consistently preserves product details?

Would love to hear what tools people are actually relying on in production.

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 29 days ago
▲ 4 r/EcommerceCircle+1 crossposts

JD.com’s founder says robots could eventually replace 700,000 delivery workers. Is this where ecommerce is headed?

Richard Liu, the founder of JD.com, recently said that he believes robots will eventually replace the company’s 700,000 delivery couriers.

Interestingly, he also emphasized that he doesn’t want employees to lose their jobs. JD.com has reportedly partnered with schools to retrain workers for new roles, such as maintaining and repairing robots.

This isn’t happening in isolation, either.

Across ecommerce, automation is accelerating:

Amazon is expanding robot and drone delivery trials.
Alibaba’s logistics arm expects hundreds of thousands of autonomous delivery vehicles in China over the next few years.

Warehouses are already becoming increasingly automated with robots handling picking, sorting, and inventory movement.

On paper, the benefits are obvious:

- Lower labor costs.
- Faster deliveries.
- Greater scalability.
- Potentially lower emissions with electric delivery robots.

But there are still plenty of practical questions.

Can robots reliably handle bad weather, stairs, apartment buildings, or rural deliveries?

Will customers actually be comfortable sharing sidewalks with autonomous delivery robots?

Will automation create enough new jobs to offset the ones it replaces?

Personally, I don’t think the question is if ecommerce becomes more automated, it almost certainly will.
The bigger uncertainty is how quickly it happens and whether companies can successfully retrain workers instead of simply replacing them.

What do you think?

Would you trust a robot to deliver your packages?

reddit.com
u/EcomWatch — 29 days ago