Is China keeping both Russia and the West on a leash?
I'm sure I'm not the first to come up with this theory. In fact, the CPC knows this. The Kremlin knows, the Pentagon knows this, etc etc
But I'd like some feedback from our members
The premise "China benefits from the war in Ukraine, and not why you think so"
This has been said before, but framed as long as the West is occupied with Ukraine, China has free range.
No. The USA has a big enough army to split itself into two essentianly. It has two flagships (technically 4, but one is decommissioned (USS Constitution) and the Eisenhower is on stand-by to take over as a flagship when needed. Mostly in the Middle East AFAIK.
So how does China benefit from preventing Ukraine or Russia win?
Easy. As long as Russia keeps the fight up, Western sanctions will apply. This means, Russia has to sell at lower prices to non-Western countries. Of which China is a big part.
China gets buy cheap from Russia, but sell (via proxy or not) to Russia at a premium.
China hasn't been into war since the Vietnam war.
It's authoritarian but stable. China has never been democratic. The West has been, more or less, for over a few thousand years when the Greeks invented democracy.
But to get back to my question, and I think they do.
Do China help Russia juuuuuuust enoug to keep the war going, but not enough to end it. Because I fear if China really wanted to, it would take over Ukraine. But it would destroy their soft power they've been building (or trying to build)
That's why Russia uses "North Koreans". Norh Korea is bascially a Chinese vassal state. It only exists by the goodwill of China.
I know this is going to very controverial. Most commie reddits would probably ban me for posting this. I'm not going to ban myself though. Nobody is getting banned for their opinion.
Disagree, on politics, all you want.
I wrote this, or tried to, in Jack Kerouac's writing style known as spontaneous prose.
Part of that is writing fast, no revisions and just write what comes to mind. Without overthinking it. Other people add more "esotheric" elements to it.
I'm just typing no vestige of beginning and no prespect of an end. (and yes, the irony of the last line, ofc intentional)
edit: no, in order to be true, I'm keeping in the spelling mistakes. I'm not lazy