We previously did a study on historical crypto bear market occurrences (let me know if you guys wish to hear more on that) and by our definitions, the crypto bear market has officially ended on August 20, 2026 as we flipped to bullish sentiments.
We defined each crypto bull market as any period where the price of Bitcoin closes above its 200 Day Moving Average for at least 30 days consecutively. Now that 30 days has passed since the initial Bitcoin pump in August, it's safe to say we are in the bull now.
Historically, we have had 10 previous crypto bull runs in the last 12 years, of which all of them lasted on average 237 days. That said, the variance between each bull is huge, with mini-rallys lasting as short as 31 days till as long as the ICO rally which lasted 849 days.
Excluding the anomalous 2015-2018 ICO run, bull markets still last an average of 169 days, which means we can expect bullish sentiments to run till at least March 2027.
Source: https://www.coingecko.com/learn/how-long-do-crypto-bull-markets-last-2014-to-2026
UPtober hasn't even started yet!